Comments on: The Great Playoff Myth In College Football

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By: Joe

Joe — Wed, 10 Nov 2010 18:49:51 +0000

“If the #1 team is clearly in the BCS game, there is no need to play more.”

Not a valid statement. This can neither be proven True or False based on the information provided. And this is why a college football playoff of the conf championps should occur.

Explanation…

The goal is to find #1, therefore Mathematically, we can prove that everyone who finishes 2nd or worse in their conference is not deserving of being #1 overall. If they are not #1 locally, they can’t be #1 nationally. This leaves only the conference champions left. The problem is, it’s impossible to determine which of these is the best.

Unlike the NFL, college football is a not a league where 75% of all teams play one another, therefore win-loss records can only be used is a guide, a not a final determination of who’s better. It’s entirely possible for two teams in one conference (who play each other and therefore 1 has a loss) are both better than an undefeated team in another (who has played lesser opponents). This is because there are 130+ teams playing in highly divided, separate conferences. Every team only plays outside their conference a couple times a year and many of these games are the top conferences playing bad conferences for easy wins. This means only a handful of games determine who’s the best. This is not enough to be statistical relevant. For example: One annual Ark/Tex game is not enough to determine if the Big12 or the SEC is a better conference.

As of right now, we have playoff of two teams. That means only 2 of the remaining conference champions are chosen. It is entirely possible, the 2 chosen are not the best, because we have no way of eliminating the other 10+ teams. Now, it is likely that we can accurately judge who is likely to be the best based on a collective poll of experts using their knowledge of football and statistics, however this is only an educated guess. Given enough years of using this method, it’s is mathematically certain that a wrong team has been selected to play for the title. And it’s even likely that many wrong teams have been selected. This is the problem.

With every additional conference champion added to the already 2-team playoff, the odds increase dramatically of selecting the true best team. To say otherwise, is foolishness.

Now, if the goal is to maximize profits, stay with traditional, not add additional games, or some other goal, then this argument is not valid. But if the goal is to find the true best team in football, with all else being equal, then an expanded playoff of conference champions is the only way.

By: Adam

Adam — Wed, 10 Nov 2010 15:56:39 +0000

http://www.deathtothebcs.com/site/about_the_book/

Great book telling you every reason in-depth why the BCS doesn’t make sense. Death to the BCS by Dan Wetzel

By: Oregon Football Talk Show Taunts SEC | Saturday Down South

Oregon Football Talk Show Taunts SEC | Saturday Down South — Fri, 29 Oct 2010 22:24:28 +0000

[...] many Oregon fans have unleashed complaints and disgust towards the Southeastern Conference and the BCS system. One talk show in particular, on the 95.5 radio station in Oregon, was ranting about how much [...]

By: Mulliganville

Mulliganville — Wed, 27 Oct 2010 00:23:47 +0000

This regular season argument just got obliterated when Stoops acknowledged defeat and quit with two minutes left in the 4th quarter against Mizzou and only being down 9. His theory, and I am paraphrasing here, “well, Bama lost by 14 on the road so this will be a ‘lesser loss’ and who knows what the voters will think as they do not watch the games and merely look at scores.”

The mighty regular season…the head coach of OU…decided to QUIT and play the system in the hopes of being the best one loss team which is selected by humans and 6 computer formulas, 5 of which will not publish their formula. How anyone in their right mind would support such blatant hypocrisy and criminality is beyond help.

http://tinyurl.com/2efklxp

By: URBrainwashed

URBrainwashed — Sun, 24 Oct 2010 12:03:30 +0000

Your argument to keep the BCS system is a house of sand. First, the whole idea that the best team has been the champion because you picked them is not only stupid, but gives away your ability to think logically. Granted, sometimes the BCS may get it right, but it can leave several undefeated teams out on a given year, and that is BS. The players dont pick their schedules and some coaches run the scores up and some teams win because of defense etc…. The only people who want to keep the BCS are the big conferences who like to pretend they can beat any team from any other conference at will. I think it makes them feel important that they are associtated with a conference that has a good track record and somehow justify not having to win the championship on the field. Very much like 5a schools who think they can beat every 4a school in hs. It has been proven wrong a million times. You say that every game would not matter- yeah sure, thats why we get to watch top 25 schools play Eastern BF school of the blind so they can pad their schedules. That is pure bs. The truth is, if you set up the playoffs the right way, every game would matter and matter even more. 16 game playoff, conference champs are in, next 5 in based on BCS. Rearranging the conferences would make it even better. Nobody could complain, because you could have won your conference. Seed it based on BCS rating. Eliminate the crap games, finish the season a week before Thxgiving, Playoffs start 1st week in Dec. championship game is New Years week. Have your stupid bowl games pitting 6-6 teams that nobody cares about. You would generate enough excess money with the playoff to pay all these stupid bowl teams to stay home and study. By the way, overall, you would have much less student hours missed, because less teams are away This system would quickly pass the Super Bowl and NCAA bb as the best sporting event in the US. Any team that won 4 in a row to win this playoff would deserve to be the champion. The current system is like 10 mens golf clubs voting on who the best golfer is based on hw they played at totally different courses and different competition vs. actually bring the golfers together and playing it off. That is how stupid it is.

By: Cynthia

Cynthia — Thu, 21 Oct 2010 07:26:55 +0000

What happened to Auburn in 2004 is the perfect example of why we need playoffs. Last year, Boise State felt let out. Granted, their schedule is reason enough to pass them up. Auburn’s is another situation altogether. They had a tougher season and deserved to be in the NC that year.

And wait for it……I’m a Bama fan.