2012 Over/Under Win Totals for all SEC Teams

sec-football-odds

Online betting website Bovada just released their over/under lines for the 2012 college football season. Here are the Over/Under win totals for all SEC teams.

Interestingly, Vegas is ranking Alabama higher than LSU as indicated by the 10.5 wins line vs LSU’s 10 win line. Further emphasizing the view of Saban’s squad, Alabama gets a higher win total despite playing at LSU and opening the season with a tough Michigan game.

Alabama Crimson Tide, 10.5 wins
Over (+105)/Under (-135)

Arkansas Razorbacks, 8.5 wins
Over (-145)/Under (+115)

Auburn Tigers, 7.5 wins
Over (+145)/Under (-175)

Florida Gators, 8 wins
Over (-105)/Under (-125)

Georgia Bulldogs, 9.5 wins
Over (-165)/Under (+135)

Kentucky Wildcats, 5.5 wins
Over (+300)/Under (-400)

LSU Tigers, 10 wins
Over (-145)/Under (+115)

Mississippi Rebels, 5.5 wins
Over (+300)/Under (-400)

Mississippi State Bulldogs, 7.5 wins
Over (-105)/Under (-125)

Missouri Tigers, 7 wins
Over (-120)/Under (-110)

South Carolina Gamecocks, 8.5 wins
Over (-130)/Under (EVEN)

Tennessee Volunteers, 7.5 wins
Over (+135)/Under (-165)

Texas A&M Aggies, 7 wins
Over (-110)/Under (-120)

Vanderbilt Commodores, 6.5 wins
Over (+160)/Under (-200)

Three overs I like:

  • LSU over 10 wins. The odds here aren’t great with the -145, which means you bet $145 to win $100, but I really like LSU to win over ten games. If they lose two and only win ten, you push and get your money back. LSU only has 4 road games, gets Alabama at home and doesn’t play a difficult out-of-conference game. This is a great bet.
  • Tennessee over 7.5 wins. As I’ve already mentioned, I like Tennessee to improve vastly this year. After a brutal schedule last year, they have a very manageable schedule this year. They get Alabama and Mississippi State out of the west and will play tough SEC East road games at South Carolina and at Georgia. I like Tennessee’s chances to possibly knock off Florida and also to dominate NC State to start the season. The Vols win eight this year. Moreover, you get a +135 odds on taking the over which makes this bet even sweeter.
  • Georgia over 9.5 wins. Georgia is talented and they have a very easy schedule. Only 4 road games at Missouri, South Carolina, Kentucky and Auburn. The draw Auburn and Ole Miss out of the west. They get Florida in Jacksonville as usual and play in-state rival Georgia Tech at home. Georgia should win ten or eleven games in 2012. Unfortunately, the -165 odds reduce the return dramatically and might turn you away.

Three unders I like:

  • Under 8.5 wins for Arkansas. Yes, I like the Hogs and their offense will be legit, but the team has definite holes and their schedule is very tough. I know they get LSU and Alabama at home, but last I checked both of those teams typically play well regardless of venue. Match that up with tough road games at South Carolina, Mississippi State, Auburn and Texas A&M and you might get four losses. I acknowledge that this is going against the grain as most figure Arkansas will win nine or ten, but I’m going to watch this line.
  • Under 10.5 wins for Alabama. I’m on record that I think Alabama loses twice this year. Alabama will be an outstanding football team, but I think they are more like the 2010 team than the 2011 team. They lost significant NFL talent, and while their offense will be solid, I think they drop two games.
  • Under 6.5 wins for Vanderbilt. With an improved SEC East this year, I think the only potential SEC wins for Vanderbilt are Kentucky and Ole Miss. Three cupcakes and a win over rival Wake Forest puts them at 6-6. Take the under.

What’s your favorite bet in the SEC?

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