Published November 3, 2012 - 8:40am
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Interesting television scheduling. We have six SEC games starting between noon and 12:30 PM ET. Good games at the 3:30 PM ET slot (Georgia vs Ole Miss) and of course the night game is Alabama vs LSU.
Missouri takes on Florida in Gainesville. It’s an important game for Florida as they stay in contention for the SEC East and maybe even the East depending on what Georgia does with the remainder of the season. The line opened on this game at 16 points in favor of the Gators, and Florida has remained a heavy favorite all week. As of today, Florida is favored by 17.5 points at home against Mizzou.
Vanderbilt heads to Kentucky to try and get to bowl eligibility for the second time this season. Vanderbilt is favored, but the betting public thought that the initial spread on this game was too much. The line opened at 9, but has gone down to Vanderbilt being favored by 6.5 on the road in Lexington.
In one of two games between ranked opponents, Texas A&M heads to Starkville to take on Mississippi State in a game that will likely determine the 3rd place spot in the SEC West behind LSU and Alabama. People seem to be enamored with Johnny Football as Texas A&M went from a 2.5 favorite all the way to a 7 point favorite as the road team against Mississippi State. Typically, in a situation like this, with the road team being heavily favored, I like to take the home team.
In a big game for Georgia, Ole Miss heads to Athens. Georgia started as a 17.5 point favorite, but the spread has gone down to 14 points. Georgia’s been inconsistent against the spread this season, so if I were a betting man, I might think about going against Georgia on a two touchdown spread. By the looks of the line movement, I’m not alone in that thought process.
The game of the century of the day is Alabama heading to Baton Rouge to take on LSU in a Death Valley night game. Unlike the last few times these teams met, we have a team that is a full touchdown plus favorite. Alabama opened as the 7 point favorite even while being the road team, and the line has increased to 8.5. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this line go up even further by game time. People like putting money on the dominant teams.
Tennessee looks to continue its streak of beating non-conference teams when Troy visits today. Tennessee started as a 20.5 point favorite, but the line has since moved to 18.5.
Tulsa heads to Arkansas, and the Hogs are a 9 point favorite. This is up from a 5.5 point spread from earlier in the week.
New Mexico State plays at Auburn in a must needed win for the Tigers. Auburn is favored by 22.5 points which is down from 23 points.