How were the 2013 NFL Draft first-round picks ranked as recruits?

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The NFL Draft was more like an SEC infomercial last night, with 12 players going in the first round. Texas A&M’s Luke Joeckel was the highest SEC player taken at No. 2 overall to the Jaguars, and Florida’s Matt Elam rounded out opening night to the Baltimore Ravens at No. 32.

It’s always interesting to compare the NFL first-round picks to how they were rated as high school prospects. For this chart comparison, player rankings were based on Rivals.com rankings.

Pick Team Player Po. College Stars Conference
1 Chiefs Eric Fisher OT C. Michigan *** MAC
2 Jaguars Luke Joeckel OT Texas A&M **** SEC
3 Dolphins Dion Jordan LB Oregon **** Pac-12
4 Eagles Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma NR Big 12
5 Lions Ziggy Ansah DE BYU NR Indep.
6 Browns Barkevious Mingo DE LSU **** SEC
7 Cardinals Jonathan Cooper OG UNC *** ACC
8 Rams Tavon Austin WR WVU **** Big 12
9 Jets Dee Milliner CB Alabama ***** SEC
10 Titans Chance Warmack OG Alabama *** SEC
11 Chargers DJ Fluker OT Alabama ***** SEC
12 Raiders DJ Hayden CB Houston *** C-USA
13 Jets Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri ***** SEC
14 Panthers Star Lotulelei DT Utah *** Pac-12
15 Saints Kenny Vaccaro S Texas **** Big 12
16 Bills EJ Manuel QB Florida State **** ACC
17 Steelers Jarvis Jones LB Georgia **** SEC
18 49ers Eric Reid S LSU **** SEC
19 Giants Justin Pugh OT Syracuse ** Big East
20 Bears Kyle Long OG Oregon *** Pac-12
21 Bengals Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame *** Indep.
22 Falcons Desmond Trufant CB Washington *** Pac-12
23 Vikings Sharrif Floyd DT Florida ***** SEC
24 Colts Bjoern Werner DE FSU *** ACC
25 Vikings Xavier Rhodes CB FSU *** ACC
26 Packers Datone Jones DE UCLA **** Pac-12
27 Texans DeAndre Hopkins WR Clemson **** ACC
28 Broncos Sylvester Williams DT UNC *** ACC
29 Vikings Cordarrelle Patterson WR Tennessee **** SEC
30 Rams Alec Ogletree LB Georgia **** SEC
31 Cowboys Travis Frederick C Wisconsin *** Big Ten
32 Ravens Matt Elam S Florida ***** SEC

Here are the picks broken down by star ranking:

  • Five-Stars: 5 (15.6%)
  • Four-Stars: 12 (37.5%)
  • Three-stars: 12 (37.5%)
  • Two-star: 1 (3.1%)
  • Not Ranked: 2 (6.3%)

The two non-ranked players were Lane Johnson and Ziggy Ansah. Johnson was a high school quarterback turned tight end in college. He blew into a full-fledged studly tackle. The Ghana-native, Ansah, didn’t start playing football until 2010, because the basketball team cut him twice. That’s the only reason he started playing football.

Here are the picks broken down by conference:

  • SEC: 12 (37.5%)
  • ACC: 6 (18.8%)
  • Pac-12: 5 (15.6%)
  • Big 12: 3 (9.4%)
  • Independent: 2 (6.3%)
  • Big Ten: 1 (3.1%)
  • Big East: 1 (3.1%)
  • C-USA: 1 (3.1%)
  • MAC: 1 (3.1%)

Photo Credit: Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports

COMMENTS

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  • This is what drives me crazy about * rankings. First, offensive lineman are usually 3* across the board. They are not flashy and have the speed….not “game changers”. Yet, they along with defensive lineman are the key to great teams. The ol’ but very true cliche, games are won in the trenches. Yeah, you will see 4* and 5* lineman but the recruiting services talk about the Qb’s, Wr’s….the skill positions. That is what sales tickets. But year in and year out you have to recruit the elite athlete. I am not of the camp that thinks…just give me all three stars with heart and we will win. Go ahead and try that in the SEC and see what happens. You have to recruit some 3* ALOT of 4* and some 5*. Just that simple.

  • The thing to understand about recruiting is that the scouts can only grade the prospect’s current value. The job for college scouts and recruiters is to grade a prospect’s potential.

  • 17 of them are 4 or 5 star guys coming out of HS. More than half. The number of 4 and 5 star guys coming out is pretty low. It’s obvious that they don’t always pan out but it makes a HUGE difference to get as many as you can.