How the NCAA would rank the SEC’s 2013 strength of schedule

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Last February, SDS looked at the upcoming 2013 season’s strength of schedule. You can view that here. Based on prior season’s results, Kentucky had the SEC’s toughest upcoming schedule, with Arkansas, Missouri and Florida right behind them. Alabama and Vanderbilt had the two easiest schedules, based on the NCAA’s method of calculating strength of schedule.

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Now that 2013 is in the books, let’s take a look at what the actual results show. The following is how the NCAA would rank the SEC’s strength of schedule, with the wins and losses. It takes into account the SEC Championship Game as well. The first two columns count for the mentioned team in the opponent’s record, while the last two columns don’t take into account the mentioned team into the opponent’s record.

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Here’s what the results show:

Team Opp. Win % Opp. Won-Loss *Opp. Win% *Opp. Won-Loss
Mississippi State 66.4% 97-49 67.9% 91-43
Florida 63.4% 92-53 63.2% 84-49
Texas A&M 62.4% 93-56 65% 89-48
Kentucky 62% 90-55 60.2% 80-53
Arkansas 61.6% 90-56 60.4% 81-53
Georgia 61.6% 90-56 64.2% 86-48
Tennessee 61.6% 90-56 61.9% 83-51
Ole Miss 58.9% 86-60 60.4% 81-53
South Carolina 58.5% 86-61 62.2% 84-51
Auburn 56.7% 89-68 61.1% 88-56
Missouri 56.7% 89-68 60.4% 87-57
LSU 52.4% 77-70 54.8% 74-61
Alabama 51.4% 75-71 55.2% 74-60
Vanderbilt 42.8% 62-83 43.6% 58-75

Couple notes:

  • Vanderbilt played the easiest schedule by far, and the Dores were the only team in the SEC to play a schedule below the .500 mark.
  • Alabama had the second easiest schedule with barely over .500.
  • Mississippi State played six currently ranked teams and lost to all of them; however, they won the other six games, bringing them to 6-6 and bowl eligible. The Bulldogs played the toughest schedule, with opponents winning 66.4 percent of their games and 67.9 percent if you remove the Bulldogs.

Photo Credit: Spruce Derden-USA TODAY Sports

REFERENCES

COMMENTS

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  • Does this really surprise anyone? Bama always plays one of the easiest schedules every year. How about 5 of the top finishers were among the 6 easiest schedules. Lessons learned for all the AD’s!

    • What are you talking about? We play in the SEC like the rest of you clowns, and we always start the year against a tough opponent unlinke 99% of all teams in the country. Last year it was Michigan, this year it was VaTech. We can’t help it that VaTech had a down year, or that Arkansas and Tennessee continue to be garbage fires.

    • or…the top 5 finishers beat everyone else and gave them all losses…lol…u cant base SOS on end of season win/loss record only…LSU TAMu & AU are all in our division, all ranked, and all over .500 teams…and that almost a 3rd of our schedule…

    • Shelby pointed out the obvious…Alabama, Auburn, Missouri, etc beat most of their opponents which adds to their opp. loss column…so, for example, by Georgia getting beat it adds to their opponents’ win columns and makes their sched. look ‘tougher’, when in reality, they are playing a similar strength of sched. as the other SEC schools…it is dumb to solely look at the opp. win/loss and mostly will only work when looking at the top teams in different conferences around the the country

    • Oh I get you need to lose to lower ranked teams to make your your schedule look harder . Georgia good at that ! Keep it up dogs . Rofl

  • 5 teams already on the schedule with 10 wins this season. Rice in the bowl game makes it 6. LSU wins their bowl game and its 7…. gotta be an NCAA record.

    • Heck, even Alcorn State had 9 wins! Of all the teams State played this season, only 2 — that’s right TWO teams had a losing record: Kentucky and Arkansas. Hail State!

  • Dude, it’s not Alabama’s fault that the opponents were easy to beat. They even put in 2nd and third string players in at the half most of the time. Sometimes before the half. If the other teams would step up their game maybe Alabama could finally find a tough schedule–I assure you they want one, it’s no fun clubbing baby seals all season. With as many players as UGA puts into the NFL you might want to ask yourself what;s up with your own team never making it to the NC’s. There’s really no excuse with as much talent as your team routinely holds.

    • You clearly have no clue, it is not about the SEC schedule, it is about the out of conference schedule. The toughest schedules have teams like Okie State, Florida State, Miami, Oregon, and Louisville on them. Sure there is some truth to if you are the #1 team you can’t play the #1 team, but you can sure as hell play #2. Alabama plays one tough out of conference opponent (if that) and then packs their schedule with UTC’s and calls themselves playing the best.

  • Dude, it’s not Alabama’s fault that the opponents were easy to beat. They even put in 2nd and third string players in at the half most of the time. Sometimes before the half. If the other teams would step up their game maybe Alabama could finally find a tough schedule–I assure you they want one, it’s no fun clubbing baby seals all season. With as many players as UGA puts into the NFL you might want to ask yourself what’s up with your own team never making it to the NC’s. There’s really no excuse with as much talent as your team routinely holds.

  • Props to State for scratching out 6-6 with that schedule….

    • Thanks for the “props”! Just remembber, we still have our vocal REDNECKS who think we should fire the coach (of course every school does). Three things I HATE about the “fire the coach” jerks – 1) They NEVER use their real names, 2) They NEVER have anything financially to do with EITHER paying off a coach or paying the new coach’s salary & 3) They are the kind of IDIOTS who think some big name coach wants to come to MSU (& be fired in 4 years). NO school of our size will EVER be great every year and the ONLY way to have a successful program is to accept we will have some down years in between the good years IF WE keep a good coach and build a PROGRAM instead of a TEAM!) Thanks for letting me sound off! :) ALL SEC – Hail State, Roll Tide, Go Dawgs, Gig ‘em, Go Cocks, “Wooo Pig Sooie”, GEAUX Tigers, WDE, Anchor Down, Gator Chomp, Go Big Blue, Rocky Top, “Fight Tiger” (MO), and even Hoddy Toddy

  • Does anyone else realize that the reason the easiest schedules are so easy and the hardest are so hard is because the bottom teams all beat the top teams? If Auburn, Alabama, and Missouri all beat the top teams then of course it will make their schedules the hardest and Auburn, Alabama, and Missouri’s schedules the easiest!

  • Each and every season you will play LSU, Georgia, & Alabama. Auburn does it w/out complaining about it but no need to fret. If you enjoy listening to cry’n and moan’n, those same 3 teams Auburn plays in conference every season whines like saban when he don’t get his way. War Eagle 2013 SEC Champs.

  • lets see how many of the teams we played were ranked? i know of 4 in our division alone…you cant just go by win % bc we beat all but 1 of the teams we played, obviously giving the team another loss, but i wouldnt call LSU, TAMU & AU .500 teams

  • Clearly the Bammer fans aren’t perturbed by this at all.

  • So Tennessee plays the top 2 teams in the West and Oregon out of conference and finishes 7th on the list. It doesn’t make much sense to me. Oregon, Florida while they were at full strength, UGA minus only Gurley, USCe, Mizzou, Auburn, Alabama… sounds pretty tough to me.

  • A funny thing happened on the way to the SEC CG – a Big 12 game broke out!! And there was even a Big 12 team playing in the SEC CG!! 100+ points, 1200+ yards – that’s Big 12 football at its best (worst). And please tell me that was a misprint stating that Missouri had the #2 defense in the SEC. Somewhere in that great Field House in the sky, Bear, Shug, the General, etc. are shaking their heads in dismay.

  • I am a Mississippi State alum, and I am very proud of what we have accomplished with Dan Mullen in the past 5 years. We are getting 4 and 5 star recruits, and Mullen and staff are taking 3 star recruits, coaching them up, and they are going to the NFL and starting. We had a very hard schedule, and I am proud of how we gutted it out the year, and went 6-6. We had Auburn beaten with 10 seconds left. They scored and beat us in those 10 seconds, and the rest is history. We had many close games just like that to ranked teams. We may as well face it, the SEC is packed with great teams. If we played in some of these other conferences, we would be champs every year. I got sick of hearing all the pundits say the SEC was down this year. We were NOT down. Let the Big 12 come play our schedules every week. They couldn’t hang. The nation as a whole was giddy when they thought we were not going to play for a National Championship as a conference. I call that pure jealousy, which means you know you are good when. Thank you Michigan State because an SEC team should be in that game. Any of our top teams deserved to be in that game, I say kudos to our conference this year for the same standard of excellence that others envy. Good Luck to Auburn. Bring it back to the conference like Bama has for the past two year. #hailstate

    • “Let the Big 12 come play our schedules every week”? They do (Missouri and TA&M), and one of those Big 12 teams was in your SEC CG!! You can call them SEC teams all you want, but calling a dog a cat doesn’t make it a cat. In only it’s 2nd year, a Big 12 team walked the dog on the SEC and went to your CG. As for the “same standard of excellence”, look at the non-existent defenses in the CG, the TA&M – Bama game, etc. The SEC used to be known for its strong defenses and defensive slugfests – now it is simply becoming a Big 12 conference clone. High scoring/ridiculous offensive yards – and no defense.

  • Toughest schedule in the SEC and we still got a bowl game. Hail State!

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