Aside from the BCS and national championship implications, the SEC East race is turning into the conference’s biggest storyline and subplot for November. Three teams – Georgia, Missouri and South Carolina – are all alive, and this weekend will help clear the clutter…or will it?
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Let’s break down all avenues and paths for the three teams to reach Atlanta.
Missouri Tigers (9-1, 5-1)
Easiest path: The Tigers are the only team to control their own destiny in the East. If Mizzou wins upcoming games against Ole Miss and Texas A&M, they’re punching their ticket to Atlanta.
The Tigers can still win the division with a three-way tie if they lose one of their remaining two games, meaning South Carolina beats Florida and Georgia beats Auburn and Kentucky. The tie breaker is the best division record, and Missouri would have it at 5-1 in the SEC East.
Missouri can lose the division by just losing one game, if South Carolina beats Florida and Georgia loses to either Auburn or Kentucky. The Gamecocks would have the head-to-head over the Tigers.
South Carolina Gamecocks (7-2, 5-2)
Easiest path: South Carolina has to beat Florida Saturday, and Georgia and Missouri each have to lose another game.
Should Georgia beat Auburn Saturday, and Kentucky next week, South Carolina is virtually eliminated because the Bulldogs hold the head-to-head over the Gamecocks.
Georgia Bulldogs (6-3, 4-2)
Easiest path: Georgia has to beat both Auburn and Kentucky, and Missouri has to lose both games to Ole Miss and Texas A&M. Georgia can bow out of the race Saturday with a loss to Auburn.
Heading into this weekend, these are the most likely scenarios. Several additional scenarios could play out, but we will know a lot more about the East race Saturday, and we will reevaluate the scenarios next week.
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