Week 10 brings Florida-Georgia and Tennessee-Missouri, two games that will help shape the SEC East race. Auburn and South Carolina will try to stay on top against lesser conference opponents.
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Kevin and I both finished 4-3 ATS last week. I still hold the overall lead at 47-29 ATS and 63-13 overall, while Kevin is right on my heels at 42-34 ATS and 60-16 overall.
Let’s get it on…
Mississippi State at #14 South Carolina (-13)
Jon: This should be a better game than what most think. South Carolina is coming off an emotional victory, and it’s a noon game in Columbia. The Gamecocks play well at home, but I expect MSU to play Carolina tough. Gamecocks win but MSU covers. South Carolina 31, Mississippi State 20
Kevin: I agree. South Carolina doesn’t play out teams not named Arkansas right now. I like Carolina in a close game. South Carolina 24, Mississippi State 21.
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Georgia (-2.5) at Florida
Jon: South Carolina’s win over Mizzou made this game much more interesting than, say, a week ago. But the simple fact that Michael Bennett and Todd Gurley return on offense could be the difference. I like Georgia to win their third straight and cover. Bulldogs 20, Florida 16
Kevin: Look for Georgia’s defense to look like the best defense in the country against Florida’s offense. Aaron Murray doesn’t really play well against Florida, but they have Todd Gurley back. I like Georgia to win. Georgia 27, Florida 17.
#11 Auburn (-8.5) at Arkansas
Jon: Why does this seem like the biggest lock in week 10? It seems too obvious. Auburn shouldn’t take Arkansas lightly, but the Hogs have been outscored 104-7 in the last two games. The Tigers’ running game gets going early. Auburn 41, Arkansas 18
Kevin: Auburn rolls with that run game! Auburn 37, Arkansas 21
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Tennessee at #9 Missouri (-11.5)
Jon: Tennessee is starting a freshman QB on the road against the team that lost a heartbreaker a week ago. The Tigers are still averaging over 40 points per game, and the Vols have struggled on the road. Missouri 35, Tennessee 17
Kevin: I’m with Jon on a Mizzou rebound this week. Tennessee’s QB will have a hard time against that Mizzou defensive front. With that said, I think we see a fiesty Tennessee team as well after getting pummeled against Alabama. I’m going with a Missouri win, but a closer game than what the spread predicts. Mizzou 28, Tennessee 21.
Alabama State at Kentucky (Pick ‘em)
Jon: Alabama State is 6-2, and Kentucky can’t just show up against anyone and win. But the Cats finally get back in the win column. Kentucky 45, Alabama State 24
Kevin: I think Kentucky wins, but not by as large a margin as Jon predicts. Kentucky 28, Alabama State 18.
UTEP at #12 Texas A&M (-46)
Jon: UTEP is a bad football team, but 46 points is a huge spread. I’ve been taking teams not to cover on bigger spreads and been getting burned. Texas A&M 59, UTEP 13
Kevin: Manziel and Evans freak show continues and the Aggies roll. Texas A&M 51, UTEP 10.
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