The SEC turns the page from one of the worst weekends in the SEC to one of the most anticipated weekends. LSU-Georgia and Alabama-Ole Miss highlight the weekend, but Texas A&M-Arkansas’ rivalry will add a little spice.
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I had a good week last week and have finally overtaken Kevin. I’m 25-14 ATS and 37-5 overall, while Kevin is 22-17 ATS and 36-6 overall.
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On to week five we go…
#12 South Carolina (-7) at UCF
Jon: The Gamecocks better show up for the noon game or UCF will steal one at home. UCF is no pushover, and they’re better than when Missouri beat them last year. Carolina wins and covers. South Carolina 28, UCF 20
Kevin: I think the Gamecocks travel to Orlando and remind UCF where they stand. South Carolina doesn’t exactly look flashy, but they win this game fairly easily and also cover. South Carolina 28, UCF 14.
Related: South Carolina at UCF preview
South Alabama at Tennessee (-20)
Jon: South Alabama beat WKU, who Tennessee thumped. So, the Vols aren’t good enough to just show up. But I like Tennessee here to win and cover. Tennessee 45, South Alabama 20
Kevin: The Vols move past the ugly loss to Florida and beat a very average South Alabama team by several touchdowns. Tennessee 38, South Alabama 14
#6 LSU at #9 Georgia (-3)
Jon: One of the three biggest games of the season, I would have thought Georgia would open as a one-point favorite. The biggest question mark in this game is Georgia’s defense, and whether they can stop LSU’s offense. LSU goes ‘Tween the Hedges and gets a win. LSU 38, Georgia 31
Kevin: I’m a bit surprised by the three point spread as well, but I’m not surprised Georgia is a favorite. I’m going with the Dawgs here. Georgia has played two very tough teams thus far this season, and LSU, well, hasn’t. I think we’re buying in to LSU a little too hard where Georgia is battle tested and gets this game at home. I like Georgia to pull out a close one. Georgia 34, LSU 33.
Related: LSU at Georgia preview
#21 Ole Miss at #1 Alabama (-16.5)
Jon: I’m in the minority thinking Ole Miss gives Alabama a good game and covers the spread, but it all comes back to Bo Wallace’s ability to be the difference-maker. Is he ready to take that step? Alabama 35, Ole Miss 21
Kevin: Ole Miss is going in the right direction, but I think we overreact too much week-to-week. I think Alabama comes out and reminds us that while they may have holes this year, they’re still the cream of the crop in the SEC. I like them to win and pull ahead late in the game to cover the spread. Alabama 38, Ole Miss 21.
Related: Ole Miss at Alabama preview
#19 Florida (-13) at Kentucky
Jon: We’ll see how Tyler Murphy handles his first start and road start, and without DT Dominique Easley, could Kentucky make this a football game. You better believe it. But I like Florida to win and cover. Florida 28, Kentucky 13
Kevin: Florida handles Kentucky like usual. Tyler Murphy will have a few mishaps, but overall will do what he needs to do. Kentucky’s offense struggles against Florida’s defense. Florida 24, Kentucky 10.
Arkansas State at Missouri (-21)
Jon: I love the way Missouri is playing through four weeks, and they are a real player in the East. I like the Tigers to win and cover. Missouri 41, Arkansas State 20
Kevin: Mizzou is going for yet another win, and they’ll get it. I don’t have them covering, however. Missouri 38, Arkansas State 21.
UAB at Vanderbilt (-20)
Jon: Vanderbilt’s offense has to get going quicker than normal, and I think they jump out to a big lead and play better than the last few weeks. Vanderbilt 38, UAB 17
Kevin: I agree and believe that Vanderbilt will stomp UAB. Vandy needs a game like this to fix a few things and I think they put it together. Vanderbilt 41, UAB 13.
#10 Texas A&M (-13) at Arkansas
Note: Game line taken off the board due to the injury of QB Brandon Allen. So, we made our own.
Jon: I think Texas A&M is a two-touchdown better team right now. I just don’t have confidence Arkansas can score enough to cover the 13 points. Texas A&M 41, Arkansas 27.
Kevin: Aggies light it up against Arkansas while of course giving up some points. Aggies get the win, but give up too many points in the second half to cover the spread. Texas A&M 45, Arkansas 38.