Which SEC teams return the most offensive firepower in 2014?

sec-bowl-game-records-bcs-era

Defense has taken a back seat the last two seasons in the SEC, but that could change in 2014. Elite veteran quarterbacks like Johnny Manziel, Aaron Murray, AJ McCarron, Zach Mettenberger and Connor Shaw are now gone, and it should lead the SEC’s defensive moniker to return.

RELATED: 2014 SEC Strength of Schedule

So, which team has the most offensive touchdown makers returning this year?

Mississippi State returns 85 percent of its offensive touchdowns. Dak Prescott leads the passing and rushing touchdown percentage charge, while LSU and Texas A&M are at the opposite end of the spectrum, returning 25 and 27 percent respectively. The Tigers lose Mettenberger, receivers Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry, along with running back Jeremy Hill. The Aggies lose Johnny Manziel and Mike Evans, who were a huge chunk of the scoring offense in 2013.

The offensive touchdowns are based off 2013’s numbers, and here’s the percentage returning in 2014:

Mississippi State: 85% returning
47 offensive TDs in 2013
18 passing TDs (13 return)
18 receiving TDs (15 return)
29 rushing TDs (27 return)

Kentucky: 82% returning
30 offensive TDs in 2013
14 passing TDs (14 return)
14 receiving TDs (12 return)
16 rushing TDs (10 return)

RELATED: SEC’s most penalized teams last five years

Arkansas: 77% returning
29 offensive TDs in 2013
15 passing TDs (15 return)
15 receiving TDs (10 return)
14 rushing TDs (9 return)

Auburn: 72% returning
68 offensive TDs in 2013
20 passing TDs (20 return)
20 receiving TDs (18 return)
48 rushing TDs (25 return)

Tennessee: 71% returning
30 offensive TDs in 2013
12 passing TDs (12 return)
12 receiving TDs (12 return)*
18 rushing TDs (6 return)
*Assumes Pig Howard returns to the team

Ole Miss: 70% returning
46 offensive TDs in 2013
24 passing TDs (18 return)
24 receiving TDs (15 return)
22 rushing TDs (16 return)

Alabama: 58% returning
58 offensive TDs in 2013
30 passing TDs (2 return)
30 receiving TDs (22 return)
28 rushing TDs (27 return)

Florida: 56% returning
25 offensive TDs in 2013
11 passing TDs (5 return)
11 receiving TDs (4 return)
14 rushing TDs (11 return)

South Carolina: 54% returning
57 offensive TDs in 2013
30 passing TDs (5 return)
30 receiving TDs (21 return)
27 rushing TDs (21 return)

Georgia: 50% returning
57 offensive TDs in 2013
31 passing TDs (5 return)
31 receiving TDs (20 return)
26 rushing TDs (19 return)

Vanderbilt: 47% returning
49 offensive TDs in 2013
15 passing TDs (4 return)
15 receiving TDs (2 return)
34 rushing TDs (24 return)

Missouri: 44% returning
66 offensive TDs in 2013
31 passing TDs (12 return)
31 receiving TDs (16 return)
35 rushing TDs (15 return)

Texas A&M: 27% returning
73 offensive TDs in 2013
40 passing TDs (3 return)
40 receiving TDs (13 return)
33 rushing TDs (14 return)

LSU: 25% returning
60 offensive TDs in 2013
23 passing TDs (1 returns)
23 receiving TDs (3 return)
37 rushing TDs (17 return)

Photo Credit: Spruce Derden-USA TODAY Sports

COMMENTS

You must be logged in to post a comment. Please sign in or register

  • These stats are a bit misleading.
    Even though MIZ is only at 44%, its 43 TDs are still more than the top three teams listed here. I’m not sure what exactly we are to take from this statistic. We could even read it as a prediction about those at the top with relative anemic production and that their fans should worry that perhaps they’ve reached near-portential at those numbers since a high percentage are returning.
    It doesn’t lead me to feel one way or the other about a team’s 2014 potential.

    • Of course, counting for impact players who will step in immediately isn’t known, but it happens every year. It certainly leads me to believe that Texas A&M and LSU will have offensive rebuilding years. Losing that many players who put up big numbers is certainly a concern. It wasn’t meant to predict future failure or success; it’s more of an interesting look at how much experience returns for teams on offense at the skill positions.

      • It’s very hard to know what the depth chart is going to do as they move up. Maybe the teams that will start the best have players who got snaps last year, but very modest stats, still they are ready because they’ve been on the field at game speed? This is an interesting sports journalistic quest “trying to find statistics all thru the depth chart to predict success”. If there truly are stats like this then valid preseason rankings might come out of it and valid Heisman candidates might be identified sooner, and who know what else.

    • I agree with your assessment about Mizzou. But these stats are still very interesting. LSU…wow, very little coming back! Kentucky has all kinds of offense coming back, but seriously they are a non-factor. Back to Mizzou, it’s common knowledge that this seasons QB, Maty Mauk seems very likely to be a better OVERALL QB than James Franklin. Nothing against Franklin at all! He played through some injuries & was an outstanding leader, person & student for Mizzou…. so glad we had him to go to after the short stint of the overrated diva, known as Blaine Gabbert. As a Zou fan, I think with the stable of RB’s we have (even though we will miss Henry Josey) & the much more experienced “man among boys” DGB, along with Mauk already being deemed THE man to listen to & be like, Mizzou is in even better shape with it’s high powered offense this coming season. Pinkel & staff have found a formula of what type of 3-star players to recruit, that when coached up a little & hit the big stage, give 110 % & become 4-star players & up while wearing the Black n Old Gold!

      • Isn’t the difference in the O-line, Gabbert and Daniels had to spread by pinpointing receivers because they didn’t have an O-line + backs like Lawrence or Josey-Murphy-Hans. The way I see it Missouri O-line recruiting and coaching has matured into a machine that allowed Franklin to become a manager instead of a punching bag–frank-dozer. The O-line either cancels out or highlights the need to return specific firepower individuals. I think Missouri’s O-line will do well again this year.

  • These are meant to show the experience that returns in the skill positions, but are not fully reflective of a team’s offensive potential or meant to show who will have the best offense next year. The SEC is a line of scrimmage leage, and what they don’t take into account is the offensive line that returns for each team. You could have the best skill position players returning, but if they have three new offensive lineman, the production might not be as high from certain positions. The The SEC is a line of scrimmage league. Interesting to see what returns for each team, but not something to use to declare yourself as the 2014 champion.

    • Wowwwwwww!!!!!!! It’s about the experience coming back. We all know about SEC lines so no need to preach but how many touchdowns is away to measure success a small one but it’s one

      • It’s a very, very small way to measure success, we could come up with countless other metrics that are far more relevant than the number of TDs that are returning. I’d much rather bring back a veteran OL and lose a little production from the skill players than have to replace the line. I’m not preaching, simply saying that good line can makeup for the loss of offensive touchdowns.

  • Gotta agree that these stats are misleading. The teams on the top end almost all are returning their QB (or a QB that started much of the year), while the teams at the bottom half have all lost their starter at QB (or the QB who started most of the season). Granted the QB accounts for most of the offensive production, but one man does not offensive firepower make. For instance, aside from Murray, Georgia has almost all of its weapons returning, with the only significant loss being Artie Lynch (who had a subpar year with very little production). If the point of the article was to show which offenses are more likely to be productive this season, I think it slightly misses the mark. Just my opinion, though.

    • DAWG! You’re the man. Of course teams that have returning quarterbacks will have more percentage of touchdowns. Quarterbacks are becoming a much bigger impact player every single year, and it’s trending towards the NFL. I like to say the NFL is all about QBs, while college is all about the head coach. But I also think you have to have a dynamic quarterback to win games, although Nick Saban is trying his best to laugh at my theory.

      • Ok, but I knew for sure that Missouri was going to have success in 2013 because of Henry Josey and the line. I knew for sure because of Franklin-Washington-Lucas-Waters-Sasser-Hunt-Beckham. So these stats have to mean something.

  • this really has no meaning. Bama will score as much this year as they did last year. Henry will be playing every game and he is a beast. Kiffin if you like him or not means nothing. he knows how to coach the offence side of the ball. they will be just fine without aj. two of their national championships were won with a first year starter.