How strong of a correlation is there between winning and turnover margin?
Turnovers are momentum halters and drive killers, much like penalties. They are more important than nearly every stat line outside of touchdowns or points scored. Momentum throughout games is usually seized or lost due to turnovers.
It’s always interesting to look at teams’ turnover margins. Here’s a look at the 2013 season’s turnovers lost, gained and margin:
|Rank||Team||G||Fum. G||Int. G||Total G||Fum. Lost||Int. Lost||Total Lost||Marg.|
Here are the five-year totals for turnovers lost, gained and margin in the SEC:
|Rank||Team||Games||Fum. Gain||Int. Gain||Total Gain||Fum. Lost||Int. Lost||Total Lost||Marg.|
*Reflects two years in SEC
- The two programs that immediately come to mind with dominant BCS eras are Alabama and LSU. Is it surprising they’re at the top of the category? Alabama has recorded an SEC-high 88 interceptions over the last five years, with Florida in second trailing by eight. The Tide lead the SEC with +58 turnover margin. That’s incredible.
- Right behind Alabama is LSU with +48. The Tigers have picked off nearly 80 passes and recorded 53 strips. The Tigers’ secondary is always filled with ball hawks.
- Mississippi State (+25) and South Carolina (+18) have really owned turnover margin the last few years. The Bulldogs’ defense has been filled with defensive backs who have a nose for the football and have great ball skills. Carolina’s 2013 +13 margin was very impressive and a big part of their success.
- Although Mizzou hasn’t been in the league five years, the Tigers’ defensive takeaways have been well noted. They’ve now forced a turnover in 44 consecutive games; that’s a ridiculous number.
- Arkansas and Ole Miss bring up the rear by a sizable margin.
- Only three SEC teams finished with a negative margin in 2013 – Florida, Georgia and Arkansas.
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