How many regular-season games will every SEC team win in 2015?

We won’t know that until the end of November, but there’s plenty to debate, or even risk, right now.

The offshore sportsbook 5Dimes released its initial college football win totals in May. CG Technology became the first Las Vegas book to offer 2015 college football win totals a few days ago. Meanwhile, sharp betters have shoved several of the 5Dimes totals into shape.

Here’s a look at the current gambling win totals offered for every SEC team both offshore and in Vegas, along with the movement at 5Dimes and the current price of betting “over” the listed total. Keep in mind that only regular-season games count with these wagers, so these totals are based on a 12-game schedule.

I also give some predictions and opinions on the lines that have yet to be hammered into shape by professional gamblers, which at this point are few and far between.

Alabama

5Dimes: 9 (-145 to -145)
CG Technology: 9.5 (-135)

The Play: Over if you can get it at 9.

Analysis: Alabama, the perpetual No. 1 recruiting program in the country under head coach Nick Saban, enters this season with more question marks than it has faced maybe since 2008. But Tuscaloosa remains saturated with football and coaching talent. And it seems very, very unlikely that Alabama loses four regular-season games. So if you can find this number at 9 wins, a push may be the basement.

Arkansas

5Dimes: 8 (+120 to +150)
CG Technology: 8 (+110)

The Play: Under.

Analysis: The Razorbacks are well-positioned to sweep the four non-conference matchups yet again, but that still means Arkansas must get to at least .500 in SEC play just to push on this bet. Playing in the SEC West, with crossover games against Missouri and at Tennessee, I’m skeptical. I’d play the under and hope for a push at worst. Coach Bret Bielema is 0-7 in one-possession SEC games the last two years, and that must change if the Hogs have even a remote shot at 9 regular-season wins.

Auburn

5Dimes: 8 (+100 to -190)
CG Technology: 8.5 (-130)

The Play: Pass.

Analysis: When 5Dimes released this number at 8 wins one month ago — at +100, no less — there was huge value. But even with a $250 limit at that site, the sharps have hammered the line into shape at -190. With Alabama and Georgia on the schedule, and plenty of other opportunities for this team to stub its toe, the value may be deflated out of this line. If Jeremy Johnson is even 85 percent of Cam Newton and coordinator Will Muschamp gets the defense better fast enough, it’s possible Auburn soars past this total, but I wouldn’t risk my money on it.

Florida

5Dimes: 7 (Off to +110)
CG Technology: 7 (-130)

The Play: Pass.

Analysis: There are too many unanswered questions about the Gators. Who will play quarterback? Will the offensive line suffer with four new, inexperienced starters? Will Antonio Morrison’s knee be an issue on defense this year? How soon will the new coaching staff be able to get the players to absorb their systems? Florida likely will enter the game against Florida State as an underdog. If the Gators lose to the Seminoles again, the team must finish at least 5-3 in the SEC to eclipse 7 wins. Even with games against Vanderbilt, Kentucky and a fading South Carolina team on the schedule, that’s asking a lot for ’15.

Georgia

5Dimes: 9 (-135 to -135)
CG Technology: 9 (-125)

The Play: Pass.

Analysis: Will the Bulldogs avoid the annual puzzling misstep? With games against Alabama, Auburn and Georgia Tech — all potential division contenders in the SEC and ACC — it’s difficult to condone plopping down money on UGA to win 10 games, especially when you need to pay some juice to cash that wager. For the record, I’m predicting Georgia to win the SEC behind what could be the nation’s best running game and a very good pass rush. I find it hard to imagine a scenario in which this team loses four regular-season games. But there’s no value in this line.

Kentucky

5Dimes: 6 (-120 to -105)
CG Technology: 5.5 (-130)

The Play: Under.

Analysis: The Wildcats turned 5-1 into 5-7 last year by giving up 43.8 points per game during a six-game losing streak. Then the team lost defensive linemen Bud Dupree and Za’Darius Smith to the NFL. A 4-0 non-conference schedule seems unlikely, especially with Bobby Petrino dialing up his high-octane offense at Louisville. A mid-November game at Vanderbilt may see coach Derek Mason fighting for his job, which won’t be easy for the Wildcats. Most likely, UK needs to win at South Carolina or at Mississippi State to reach a bowl game and eclipse 5.5 wins. Even then, you’re paying $130 to win $100 in Vegas. The extra return on the under is attractive enough for a small play.

LSU

5Dimes: 8 (-115 to -180)
CG Technology: 8.5 (-130)

The Play: Pass.

Analysis: This is another number that’s been hammered into place by sharp betters at the offshore book 5Dimes. The price for over 8 wins has moved from -115 to -180 in one month, likely prompting Vegas to open their line at 8.5. Even still, you’re not getting even money by predicting 9 or more wins by LSU in the regular season. With division games against Alabama, Auburn and Ole Miss, major concerns at quarterback, depth issues at linebacker and a new defensive coordinator, expecting LSU to essentially finish the regular season as a Top 15 team is too much.

Mississippi State

5Dimes: 7 (-110 to -115)
CG Technology: 7 (+115)

The Play: Pass

Analysis: The Bulldogs field a joke of a non-conference schedule and also host Kentucky — the team’s third consecutive game in Starkville after contests against Troy and Louisiana Tech. For a team that spent several weeks ranked No. 1 in the country last year and returns quarterback Dak Prescott, that should equate to a near-automatic 5 wins. However, Mississippi State lost as many important players as any team in the SEC after last season. And we saw in ’14 that a good team (Arkansas) can finish last in the SEC West and barely scrape into a bowl game. It’s tempting to advise a small play on the over here, but I don’t feel confident this team can claw out a .500 conference record in the West.

Missouri

5Dimes: 7 (Off to -180)
CG Technology: 7.5 (-135)

The Play: Pass.

Analysis: The Tigers arguably face the easiest schedule in the SEC this year, especially if BYU quarterback Taysom Hill is at less than 100 percent by mid-November (Hill, a dynamic runner, is coming off a broken leg and has suffered injuries every season for the Cougars.) Still, the team now has lost its three best defensive linemen from ’14 in Markus Golden (NFL), Shane Ray (NFL) and Harold Brantley (car accident), not to mention projected starting defensive end Marcus Loud (dismissed). The passing game is a major concern as well, while Tennessee and Arkansas appear to be getting better. If you got this line at 7 when 5Dimes first released it, thank your lucky stars, even with the unexpected departures. The schedule is soft enough, and Mizzou has played very well the last two seasons in games it should win. But the value has been drained, as it’s now -180 at 7 and Vegas released the line at 7.5.

Ole Miss

5Dimes: 8 (-110 to -110)
CG Technology: 8.5 (-115)

The Play: Pass.

Analysis: The Rebels get a near-automatic 5 wins between Vandy and the non-conference schedule. Ole Miss should be favored against Arkansas and Mississippi State as well. Other than quarterback Bo Wallace and a pair of All-American defensive backs, this team returns almost everyone of significance. It appeared on course for at least 9 regular-season wins in ’14 before a slew of major injuries. This is the team’s best chance to make a mark, so you can bet it’ll be motivated. Still, it seems very likely that coach Hugh Freeze’s team will finish the regular season 8-4 or 9-3. I don’t see value here.

South Carolina

5Dimes: 7 (-120 to -120)
CG Technology: 6.5 (-155)

The Play: Pass.

Analysis: After three consecutive 11-win seasons, it seems clear that pedestal won’t be sustainable for the Gamecocks, especially with coach Steve Spurrier’s future in doubt (his retirement is looming) and the apparent de-evolution at quarterback (Connor Shaw to Dylan Thompson to …?). Even if South Carolina manages to patch its giant hole at pass rush and incubate some semblance of competency in the secondary, this team no longer remains a championship contender. Still, 6 wins or fewer? Even with a non-conference schedule that includes North Carolina, Clemson and UCF, that’s hard to imagine. Pharoh Cooper, the running game and an emerging group of linebackers will keep the team in a lot of close games. Stay away here.

Tennessee

5Dimes: 7 (Off to -210)
CG Technology: 8 (+130)

The Play: Pass.

Analysis: It took some time before 5Dimes released a total for the Vols, as this number originally was off the board. Perhaps 5Dimes was unsure what to do with Tennessee. But as soon as it did post at 7 wins, sharp betters nailed the “over” side, pushing it all the way to -210. Yikes. Vegas, of course, opened the total at 8, with a little bit of incentive (bet $100 to make $130). Missouri’s chances at a third consecutive SEC East title look slimmer by the month, so the Vols may be the top contender to Georgia in the division. Still, this team must take on Oklahoma and Georgia at home as well as Alabama and Florida on the road. An 8-4 record seems like a very fair preseason projection.

Texas A&M

5Dimes: 7 (-135 to -210)
CG Technology: 8 (-110)

The Play: Pass.

Analysis: Yet another example of a line that had all its value sucked out by sharp offshore gamblers while you were enjoying the NBA playoffs. After opening over/under 7 wins, the Aggies presumably have gotten heavy play to surpass that total, pushing the “over” to -210 offshore and encouraging Vegas to open a full win higher at over/under 8. If the line continues to move in that direction, there could be value on the under here — it’s going to take super coordinator John Chavis more than a few months to fix this previously-wretched defense, and the SEC West remains a brutal testing ground — but for now, stay away.

Vanderbilt

5Dimes: 3 (-135 to -170)
CG Technology: 3.5 (+105)

The Play: Under if you can get it at 3.5.

Analysis: The consensus media opinion is that coach Derek Mason needs to win at least one SEC game to retain his job. More concerning, it’s unlikely that Vandy escapes Western Kentucky, Middle Tennessee State and Houston, three pretty good Group of 5 teams, without a loss. This offense barely provided enough firepower to power past FCS teams last year, and Patton Robinette, the presumptive starting quarterback, retired. I don’t see coordinator Andy Ludwig, who is good at his job, and sophomore-to-be running back Ralph Webb providing enough to lift the Commodores to 4 or 5 wins in ’15.