SEC Week 11 Predictions
LSU vs. Alabama – one of the most anticipated games of the season takes place Saturday in Tuscaloosa. Vanderbilt travels to Florida in another interesting matchup, and Auburn goes on the road to Tennessee.
Related: Manziel, Evans playing last home game Saturday?
Here’s an update on how we’re doing this season: I finished 5-1 last week ATS spread, while Kevin finished 4-2. I’m now 52-30 ATS and 69-13 overall, while Kevin is 46-36 ATS and 66-16 overall. He keeps waiting on my big meltdown week…
Related: Auburn is the SEC’s biggest potential wrecking ball
Let’s get it on…
Vanderbilt at Florida (-10.5)
Jon: Florida hasn’t played a home game in a month, and the Commodores will present a tough challenge for Florida. I just didn’t see enough from Vandy QB Patton Robinette against Texas A&M to feel confident in an upset. Gators win but Dores cover. Florida 24, Vanderbilt 21
Kevin: Truly must win for Florida. They lose this game and Florida doesn’t get to a bowl game most likely. I’m going with the home team, but I have no confidence in the Gators to put away a team, and James Franklin’s teams are scrappy. Florida 17, Vandy 14.
#8 Missouri (-14) at Kentucky
Jon: Mizzou has played well on the road thus far in 2013. Either Maty Mauk or James Franklin – it won’t matter because that Mizzou defense is out for blood every week. Missouri wins and covers. Mizzou 38, Kentucky 14
Kevin: I like Missouri to handle Kentucky and cover the spread. Kentucky will struggle to move the ball. Mizzou 38, Kentucky 7.
#9 Auburn (-7.5) at Tennessee
Jon: The most interesting line of the week. Knowing Tennessee plays well at home and noon games favor the home team, the line was smaller than perceived. But Auburn’s SEC-leading running game should dismantle Tennessee’s SEC-worst run defense. Auburn rolls and covers. Auburn 31, Tennessee 20
Kevin: Pound the rock Auburn. That’s why I love this team. They should handle an inferior team in Tennessee. Tennessee will struggle to move the chains. Auburn rolls by a score of 28-14.
Arkansas at Ole Miss (-16.5)
Jon: Arkansas is 0-3 in three true road games this season, and the Rebels may be a little bit better than perceived and could finish with nine wins. It’s all about keeping Arkansas one dimensional like other teams have done, and the Rebels’ defense is getting healthy. I’m feeling rather aggressive. Rebels win and cover. Ole Miss 35, Arkansas 14
Kevin: Ole Miss wins at home with sound play on defense. I like theme to win by two touchdowns, but not cover the spread. Ole Miss 24, Arkansas 10.
Appalachian State at Georgia (-31.5)
Jon: Appalachian State isn’t the App State of old, and they’ve struggled this year. Georgia is coming off a huge win against Florida. Georgia rolls but App State covers the spread. UGA 41, App State 10
Kevin: Aaron Murray racks up some more stats and pounds App State. Georgia 38, App State 7.
Related: The reason Todd Gurley threw a punch against Florida?
Mississippi State at #15 Texas A&M (-18.5)
Jon: In what could be Johnny Manziel and Mike Evans’ last home game, the Aggies get a struggling Mississippi State team. The Bulldogs will move the football against the Aggies, but TAMU will outscore MSU in the second half. I’m feeling aggressive about this one, too. Texas A&M 48, MSU 24
Kevin: Johnny Football goes out in front of Kyle Field for the last time and lights it up. Texas A&M 51, MSU 28.
#13 LSU at #1 Alabama (-12.5)
Jon: We’re going to find out the gap between Alabama and everyone else Saturday night. You can rank the SEC’s 2-8 teams pretty close, but how big is the gap between #1 and #2? LSU always plays Bama tough, and the biggest catalyst is Jeremy Hill and whether he can provide a balanced attack. This one could surprise in a different way than everyone thinks. Alabama wins and covers. Alabama 38, LSU 20
Kevin: This isn’t the top five matchup as its been in the last two years, but there’s still enough there to fire up these teams. LSU is still LSU despite their terrible defense this year. I like Mettenberger and those LSU WRs to keep LSU in the game. 12.5 is a big spread for this game. Let’s go Alabama 35, LSU 33.
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