If there was a conference championship game for ATS picks, I wouldn’t have qualified this year after a 16-16-5 regular season. But we’ll look to get back above .500 with the Power 5 championship games, which run from Friday night to Saturday night.

Below, find the odds for all five games plus my best bet for each.

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Pac-12 Championship Game Pick: USC vs. Utah

Time/location: 8 pm ET, Friday, at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas

Point spread: USC -3

Moneyline: USC -155/Utah +135

Game total: 68.0 (-110o/-110u)

The Pac-12 title game is 1 of 2 P5 rematches this weekend (TCU vs K-State being the other). Utah (9-3, 7-5 ATS) handed USC (11-1, 8-4 ATS) its only loss of the season back in mid-October, escaping with a 43-42 comeback win at home. USC controlled the vast majority of the game, opening a 14-0 lead early and taking a touchdown-lead into the fourth. But Utah QB Cam Rising orchestrated a late TD drive, rushing for both the score and the 2-point conversion to give Utah its first lead of the game with just 42 seconds on the clock.

If that game wasn’t at elevation in front of a friendly Utah crowd, USC wins. If USC doesn’t commit 12 penalties to Utah’s 5, USC likely wins. If Rising isn’t at full health and playing his absolute best, USC wins comfortably.

The first is true of this weekend with the game in Vegas. The second is unlikely to repeat. The third is a bit of a question mark. Rising, who’s almost as dangerous with his legs as he is with his arm, has been hampered by a knee injury that’s caused him to miss some time. There is no doubt he’ll play Friday, but his mobility is likely to be limited. He averaged 44 rushing yards per game through Utah’s first 7 games (including 6 touchdowns) and just 20.8 YPG in the past 4 (with zero touchdowns).

On top of that, Utah’s starting RB Tavion Thomas is out for the season. The Trojans’ defense will be facing a Utah attack that is decidedly more one-dimensional this time.

On offense, USC has looked as dangerous as ever the past few weeks. Caleb Williams emerged as a prohibitive favorite in the Heisman odds after leading USC to a dominant 38-27 win over Notre Dame last Saturday. Williams is averaging a little over 300 passing yards per game with a decent 65.8 completion percentage and impeccable 34-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

USC’s defense is still a massive concern — I thought it would be the Trojans’ downfall against Notre Dame — but they played one of their better games of the season against arguably their toughest opponent. That bodes well heading into the conference title game. The nation’s most-efficient offense gets a large measure of revenge in this rematch.

Pick: USC -3 (-110)

Big 12 Championship Game Pick: Kansas State vs. TCU

Time/location: 12 pm ET, Saturday, Dec. 3, at AT&T Field in Arlington, Texas

Point spread: TCU -2.5

Moneyline: TCU -135/Kansas State +115

Game total: 61.5 (-110o/-110u)

The Big 12 title game between TCU (12-0, 9-2-1 ATS) and Kansas State (9-3, 8-3-1 ATS) is the other Power 5 rematch on the docket. TCU won the first edition 38-28, but it wasn’t exactly a dominant performance, not until the second half anyway. K-State held a 28-17 lead at halftime, but was shut out in the second due to 2 interceptions and 2 missed field-goal attempts.

While TCU did come away looking like the stronger team, outgaining the Wildcats by over 100 yards (495 to 390), it was by a slight margin and K-State certainly didn’t deserve to lose by two scores.

Somewhat unusually for the Big 12, both of these teams have defenses that can dominate games, especially Kansas State. The Wildcats have held 5 of their 12 opponents to 12 points or fewer and are surrendering an average of just 19.4 PPG on the season. The TCU D has averaged 24.2 PPG and played its best late in the season, holding Texas to 10 points in Week 11 and Iowa State to 14 last time out.

I’m not willing to bet against whatever magic Sonny Dykes is conjuring up in Fort Worth, but I do have concerns about how the TCU offense is going to perform against a solid K-State D. Max Duggan and Co. looked shaky against Baylor 2 weeks ago, and I see them starting slowly against in this game. I will take the first-half under.

Pick: First-Half Under 29.5 (-110)

SEC Championship Game Pick: LSU (+17.5) vs. Georgia

Time/location: 4 pm ET, Saturday, Dec. 3, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta

Point spread: Georgia -17.5

Moneyline: Georgia -950/LSU +650

Game total: 51.0 (-110o/-110u)

LSU (9-3, 7-5 ATS) played its worst game of the season last time out, getting blasted 38-23 by a Texas A&M team that had lost 6 straight SEC games and whose only win since September came against UMass. Prior, LSU had rattled off 5 straight wins, including over then-No. 6 Alabama and then-No. 7 Ole Miss. Quarterback Jayden Daniels had put his name into the Heisman mix and the defense had come to life. That same defense proceeded to give up 274 rushing yards to Devon Achane and Co. And those numbers weren’t inflated by a couple of monster runs. A&M didn’t have a rush longer than 29 yards, but consistently carved out first downs.

Though it was already booked into the SEC title game, LSU should have been ultra-motivated/prepared last week. A win over the Aggies plus a win this week would have given them a great chance at a College Football Playoff berth. After the A&M loss, they’re not even listed in the national championship odds.

Still, I’m going to assume LSU was caught looking ahead and that last week’s ugly loss was not indicative of what the Tigers will bring to the table in their biggest game of the season against Georgia (12-0, 6-6 ATS).

UGA’s résumé is littered with both blowouts and scores that were a lot closer than anticipated (evidenced by its 6-6 ATS record). They have had a penchant for starting slowly. In their rivalry matchup last week with Georgia Tech, they only led 10-7 at the break. Two weeks ago, they didn’t manage a first-half TD against Kentucky, leading 9-0 at the half. That was preceded by a 17-12 halftime lead against Mississippi State. Earlier in the season, UGA trailed Mizzou 16-6 at the half.

There are counterpoints, specifically 28-3 and 24-6 halftime leads over Florida and Tennessee, respectively. But the trends point towards UGA coming out at less than full speed. LSU gives Georgia its best shot in the first half and keeps the outcome in question heading into the final 30 minutes.

Pick: LSU First-Half +10 (-110)

ACC Championship Game Pick: Clemson vs North Carolina (+7)

Time/location: 8 pm ET, Saturday, Dec. 3, at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC

Point spread: Clemson -7.5

Moneyline: Clemson -295/North Carolina +245

Game total: 63.0 (-110o/-110u)

Neither Clemson (10-2, 6-6 ATS) nor North Carolina (9-3, 5-6-1 ATS) inspires a lot of confidence heading into the ACC Championship Game. Last Saturday, Clemson lost its first home game since a 2016 setback to Pitt, falling 31-30 to in-state rival South Carolina. With a 31-16 win over Louisville and a 41-10 rout of Miami, Clemson appeared to have rebounded from a 35-14 thumping at the hands of Notre Dame in early November. But the South Carolina game raised new concerns.

Quarterback DJ Uiagalelei managed just 99 yards on a horrific 8-of-29 passing, while the defense surrendered 360 yards through the air to Spencer Rattler, who’s not exactly known for lighting up good secondaries.

The situation for the Tar Heels is just as concerning. Since booking their spot in the ACC title game, UNC has lost back-to-back games to NC State (home) and Georgia Tech (away). Quarterback Drake Maye has played arguably his 2 worst games of the season the past 2 weeks. Averaging 341 yards per game through the first 10, he was limited to 233 and 202 against NC State and Ga Tech, respectively. He was held under 60% completions in both. He’d only failed to hit that mark in 1 of the first 10 games. He also tossed an INT in both games, just his 4th and 5th of the season.

But Maye established enough of a track record that I expect him to have a decent amount of success against a Clemson secondary that’s looking increasingly vulnerable.

On defense, UNC has been bad against the run, and that’s the main way this Clemson team is going to hurt you. The Tar Heels are giving up 169.7 yards per game on the ground at 4.4 yards per carry, both toward the bottom end of the FBS. This game is shaping up to be a shootout between two offenses that matchup fairly well against the opposing Ds.

Pick: Over 63 (-110)

Big Ten Championship Game Pick: Purdue (+16.5) vs Michigan

Time/location: 8 pm ET, Saturday, Dec. 3, at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis

Point spread: Michigan -16.5

Moneyline: Michigan -850/ Purdue +600

Game total: 52.0 (-110o/-110u)

Michigan (12-0, 7-4-1 ATS) heads into the Big Ten title game as a nearly 3-touchdown favorite over Purdue (8-4, 5-7 ATS). Playing in their first Big Ten Championship, the Boilermakers are extremely lucky to be here. They needed a lot to go right the final week of the season — including Iowa losing to Nebraska as 10.5-point home favorites — and it did.

It needs to be noted that Purdue QB Aidan O’Connell stepped away from the team to deal with a family tragedy. He’s going to start but hasn’t been practicing most of the week.

Purdue is a thoroughly average football team. They suffered double-digit losses to Wisconsin (35-24 away) and Iowa (24-3 home) before winning their final 3. Their best win on the year was undoubtedly a 31-24 road win over then-No. 24 Illinois. But they haven’t even squared off with a team anywhere near Michigan’s level the entire season, avoiding both the Wolverines and Ohio State in Big Ten crossover play.

Michigan put in one of the best performances of the season last week against Ohio State, besting their arch-rivals for the second year in a row (45-23). The defense was impeccable in the second half, holding former Heisman-favorite CJ Stroud and the Buckeyes to just a field goal. Stroud was able to pile up 349 yards through the air for the game, but on the whole, it was still a great performance from a top-3 defense in the country.

Purdue’s offense is going to have a difficult time moving the chains and I expect this game to get out of hand early, even with Michigan RB Blake Corum banged up. His backup, Donovan Edwards, was excellent against Ohio State (216 yards on just 22 carries) and will only find the road easier against Purdue.

Pick: Michigan First Half -9.5 (-110)