The clocks are about to change, November is here, and the haves are making one final push away from the have-nots. What can we look forward to in Week 10 in the SEC? One of the top two will have some trouble, one of the league’s weaker teams will have an embarrassing out-of-conference loss, and some big individual performances are coming, some from unlikely sources. Want more? Here are our bold predictions for Saturday’s SEC games.

Missouri over Florida? Nah.

Maybe we’re just really optimistic — or maybe we’ve watched the Mizzou defense — but it’s a lot easier to envision Malik Zaire having a good game than the Florida defense getting gashed by Mizzou again and again. Somehow, the Tigers are a favorite in this game. Don’t believe the hype. This game will be ugly. But the road team will win.

Can it get that bad for Tennessee?

No, it can’t. Sure, the Golden Eagles of Southern Miss are one of the hot upset picks this week. Rat poison. Tennessee’s results have been hideous, but the effort has been there in the last two games. The Vols will have something to prove in a potentially toxic Homecoming game. John Kelly opens up enough holes for UT to pass for 200 and win by two scores.

Vandy is not so dandy

So we passed on two of the prominent upset picks … but we’ll take Western Kentucky over Vandy. These two teams are near mirror images — neither is rushing for even 100 yards per game (94 for Vandy, 83 for WKU). The difference is that WKU’s passing attack can create some headaches — to the tune of 309 yards per game. WKU also gave a much better Vandy team a dogfight last season. They’ll come out of Nashville with a win on Saturday.

Ole Miss passes for 400 yards … and loses

What does Kentucky do best? Win ugly. UK’s pass defense is atrocious, giving up 266.6 yards per game through the air. That’s especially egregious considering that UK hasn’t played a very good passing QB yet. Jordan Ta’amu is going to have a big day. But where Kentucky actually excels is turning red zone trips into field goals instead of touchdowns. UK has allowed 14 touchdowns in 26 red zone defensive possessions. For comparison’s sake, Ole Miss has allowed 28 touchdowns in 41 visits. Kentucky will do more with less and trade threes for sevens. Ole Miss will probably end up around 500 total yards … but a couple of field goals, and maybe a bad decision or two from Ta’amu (UK has forced 13 turnovers,  tied for 4th in the league) will be the difference.

We like Texas A&M … to cover

No, we’re not picking the Aggies to win. But that spread of 15 points or so looks a little ambitious. Auburn has a tendency to play down to decent competition, and the Aggies’ defense will bring plenty of fight. Even against Mississippi State, it really wasn’t the defense that let A&M down. We’ll take Auburn in an ugly game, but A&M keeps it close and covers the point spread in a one-score game.

Alabama goes throwback

You know something Alabama did a ton of last year? Score defensive touchdowns. Says here that they’re good for two on Saturday against LSU. They’ll stifle the Tigers’ run game, and Denny Etling, forced to try to make big plays, will make them … for the opposing team. Give us a scoop and score and a pick-six from Bama, which will have no problems with LSU.

Give State 50

The mismatch of the week is UMass playing at Mississippi State. The Minutemen have a decent offense, but they give up 194 yards rushing and 195 yards passing per game. Against an efficient State ground game, this game will be close for about four plays. Fitzgerald and Williams each are good for 150 yards on the ground, and State — like the British army on a good day — will crush the Minutemen.

Carolina knocks off Georgia … for a half

Can UGA and Bama keep their collision course intact? Well, even if so, there’ll be a clunker or two. This Carolina team isn’t good enough to beat Georgia, but they are good enough to flummox them for a half. If you’re Kirby Smart, you’re probably happy, because you get some things to get cranky about, but you still go out in the second half and win by 17 or so. Again, Carolina won’t win … but they’ll have a good half and give Georgia a legitimate scare.

Whether it’s Allen or Kelley, or both, they’re having big day

Arkansas stands to win a second game in a row as they host Coastal Carolina. The Chanticleers don’t believe in pass defense, as they allow 263.5 yards per game against a variety of Sun Belt foes. They’ve given up 50 points three times, and Arkansas could well make it four. Look for 300 yards passing from one or both Hogs QBs.