The 2022 college football season heads into Week 4 with a full slate of SEC action featuring all 14 conference teams. Two division rivalries are in the national spotlight.

No. 11 Tennessee is hosting No. 20 Florida. The Vols and Gators are getting the “SEC on CBS” national showcase slot (3:30 p.m. ET) and ESPN’s “College GameDay” is in Knoxville to cover the game.

The other ranked-vs-ranked SEC matchup is the Southwest Classic featuring No. 10 Arkansas and No. 23 Texas A&M. The “SEC Nation” crew is on hand in Dallas to preview the game.

ESPN’s Football Power Index predicts the outcome of every game. Here are the FPI’s projections for Saturday’s SEC games:

  • Georgia (99.2% chance to win) vs. Kent State
  • Auburn (72% chance to win) vs. Missouri
  • Mississippi State (98.1% chance to win) vs. Bowling Green
  • Tennessee (87.5% chance to win) vs. Florida
  • Ole Miss (95.3% chance to win) vs. Tulsa
  • Kentucky (96.4% chance to win) vs. Northern Illinois
  • Texas A&M (58% chance to win) vs. Arkansas
  • Alabama (98.6% chance to win) vs. Vanderbilt
  • LSU (97.8% chance to win) vs. New Mexico
  • South Carolina (91.6% chance to win) vs. Charlotte

Here’s how ESPN explains the FPI:

FPI is a predictive rating system designed to measure team strength and project performance going forward. The ultimate goal of FPI is not to rank teams 1 through 128; rather, it is to correctly predict games and season outcomes. If Vegas ever published the power rankings it uses to set its lines, they would likely look quite a lot like FPI.

We’ve already been reminded throughout the first few weeks that anything can happen once the teams take the field. We’ll see how the FPI’s projections fare against the results on the field.