Bill Connelly’s SP+ projections for Week 8 have been posted, and they provide some insight on what the data tells us about the season so far.

Almost all the SEC matchups should go according to plan, with a majority of the higher-ranked teams favored by the model. The biggest surprise is Texas A&M at South Carolina. The Gamecocks are 3.5 underdogs per Vegas but the SP+ model has them winning by a narrow .4 margin. Ole Miss is favored to leave Baton Rogue with a win and Missouri looks to get its first conference victory this week against Vanderbilt. Connelly’s system has Alabama bouncing back with a big win against Mississippi State.

  • Tennessee 54, UT Martin 15
  • Alabama 36, Mississippi State 21
  • Ole Miss 31, LSU 25
  • South Carolina 25, Texas A&M 24
  • Missouri 35, Vanderbilt 19

The computer model is “opponent- and tempo-adjusted look at the most sustainable and predictive aspects of college football. It is intended to be predictive and forward-facing.”

Connelly shared the score projections for the top games and a link to the full list: