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ESPN’s FPI predicts outcome of every SEC Week 5 game

Dave Holcomb

By Dave Holcomb

Published:

The 2018 season continues on Saturday with almost a full slate of SEC games, including several intriguing SEC East matchups.

ESPN’s Football Power Index has predicted all the Week 5 matchups. As expected, Alabama and Auburn received the highest win probability, but Georgia wasn’t far behind despite the fact the Bulldogs are facing SEC rival Tennessee.

FPI is defined by ESPN as “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season.”

Here is the percent chance that ESPN’s FPI gives each SEC team to win this Saturday (ranked highest to lowest):

Alabama (vs. Louisiana) – 99.8 percent
Auburn (vs. Southern Miss) – 97.5 percent
Georgia (vs. Tennessee) – 97.4 percent
Vanderbilt (vs. Tennessee State) – 96.8 percent
Texas A&M (vs. Arkansas) – 92.7 percent
LSU (vs. Ole Miss) – 77.5 percent
Mississippi State (vs. Florida) – 63.5 percent
South Carolina (at Kentucky) – 53.5 percent
Kentucky (vs. South Carolina) – 46.5 percent
Florida (at Mississippi State) – 36.5 percent
Ole Miss (at LSU) – 22.5 percent
Arkansas (vs. Texas A&M) – 7.3 percent
Tennessee (at Georgia) – 2.6 percent
Missouri – bye week

Dave Holcomb

Dave covers SEC football for Saturday Down South.

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