ESPN’s FPI predicts the outcome of every SEC Week 11 game

We’re back to a full SEC slate for Week 11. All 14 teams are in action, including 6 games of SEC clashes. Alabama and Florida, meanwhile, each host out-of-conference opponents.

No. 11 Texas A&M at No. 15 Ole Miss is getting the “College GameDay” treatment while “SEC Nation” will be in Knoxville for No. 1 Georgia at Tennessee, the “SEC on CBS’ showcase game.  ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) predicts the winners of those games, as well as the 6 others.

Here is every SEC team’s chance to win, according to the FPI:

• Alabama (99.9 percent chance to win) vs. New Mexico State
• Auburn (66.7 percent) vs. Mississippi State
• Florida (99 percent) vs. Samford
• Georgia (88.6 percent) at Tennessee
• Missouri (51.9 percent) vs. South Carolina
• Ole Miss (55.7 percent) vs. Texas A&M
• Kentucky (93.6 percent) at Vanderbilt
• LSU (59.4 percent) vs. Arkansas

Here’s how ESPN explains the FPI:

FPI is a predictive rating system designed to measure team strength and project performance going forward. The ultimate goal of FPI is not to rank teams 1 through 128; rather, it is to correctly predict games and season outcomes. If Vegas ever published the power rankings it uses to set its lines, they would likely look quite a lot like FPI.

Andrew Olson

Andrew writes about sports to fund his love of live music and collection of concert posters. He strongly endorses the Hall of Fame campaigns of Fred Taylor and Andruw Jones.