With the tournament right around the corner I had forgotten about him, but you're right. Last I'd heard he was gonna make a decision the second week in April. Not sure where all this leaves him in his decision-making process now.
After doing some more digging, you are right, China did not admit to creating the disease. These, however are some facts that have emerged about the location of the virus's origin. -The disease originated in bats. -The city of Wuhan, where there outbreak first occurred, is home to a market, which regularly sells bats, which are eaten in many parts of China. Wuhan is also home to a biological research lab, which... a) is known to have been conducting experiments on bats late last year, and b) has been known to sell animals to the market that have been used in experiments, and the market then sells meat from those animals. Doesn't take a rocket scientist to connect those dots, especially given that the Communist Chinese government is known to release diseases on its people for experimental and population control purposes. Now, obviously that doesn't prove that China deliberately created and released the coronavirus, but China also hasn't exactly been helpful, or truthful, in helping the rest of the world deal with this outbreak. It seems very convenient that just as our tariffs were really starting to hurt their economy, an outbreak starts in their country that decimates the rest of the world's economies as well.
I will admit that I just learned today that in the last few days they have changed the test to something that is supposed to be more consistent in the results it gives. I don't think enough results have come back from the new test yet to really know if it's any more accurate, though.
The mortality rate for flu wouldn't drop off much if you exclude the 80+ demographic since they aren't as much at risk from it as small children. It would still be around .15% to .16%.
Maybe I'm not making this clear, but I'm not saying I don't care about those people. Quite the opposite, actually. But these extensive overreactions are unwarranted. We could ride this out by implementing a few simple ideas for the next couple of weeks, including restricting nursing home visitation and limiting ER visits to just the most extreme cases, so that the demographics most at risk will be able to get treatment should they catch the virus. Those demographics aren't typically the type that attend many sporting events anyway, although I didn't have a problem with not letting fans in to watch games. Basically, for the next couple of weeks, if those of us less at risk from this disease would just stick to going to work, and then going home, and not venturing outside of those two environments unless absolutely necessary, as well as not going to the doctor for flu-like symptoms unless they fall under the extreme category as outlined by the CDC, then we could maintain a pretty much normal daily routine without overly compromising the ability of the at-risk demographics to get treatment quickly if they should need it.
From what I've gathered, it's gonna be around every year kind of like the flu. But after this first spell, scientists will have to guess at what strand of coronavirus we will have next year in order to create a shot for it, just like they do for the flu shot. The years we have flu epidemics are because the scientists just guessed wrong on what strands of flu we would have that year.
That's exactly what I have been saying. A little common sense is all that is needed to get past this. The elderly and others with weakened immune systems have a higher mortality rate from any disease than the rest of us. So obviously those people need to take more extreme precautions than the rest of us. But it's not like those same people aren't just as likely to die from the flu, pneumonia, or another disease.
And pretty much every other sport that I can think of.
But aren't most basketball players already signed by now?
But this disease is no more deadly than the flu for 95% of the population. The other 5% are people over 80 or with pre-existing medical conditions, and the mortality rate for every disease is higher for those people. We could get through this just fine by restricting nursing home visitation, banning international travel, and limiting ER visits to only extreme cases for a couple of weeks. I'm with the comment above. If this disease had an extremely high mortality rate, then I'd be all for doing whatever is necessary. But the only demographics at an abnormally high risk are those who already have much weaker immune systems, and those same people are just as likely to die from the flu, pneumonia, bronchitis, etc.
My point isn't that those people don't matter. My point is that this virus is no more deadly than the regular flu is to those demographics. We don't shut down the country for the flu every year do we? Why are we shutting down over this, then?
Kudos to the NCAA on this. I can see where there could be some debate over whether or not to grant the Winter sports' athletes an extra year. I mean, on one hand, they did get play out their entire regular seasons. But on the other hand, it just doesn't seem right that the majority of these guys had to play their final game of their athletic careers without knowing it. I hope those athletes get granted an extra year as well, just because it would be heart-breaking to have someone's career end like this.
I'm kind of disappointed this didn't materialize. The debate over who should have gotten in would have been just intriguing as the actual games.
Actually, right the opposite. The statistics I used were averages from multiple official health resources, including the CDC. There were very clear tables showing the mortality rate of every age demographic and those with different respiratory illnesses. Then I found the total deaths/case for those two groups, subtracted it from the deaths/case of everyone else, and was then able to come up with the mortality rate of the 150,000 or so people who have tested positive worldwide. Pretty simple and basic math really. It doesn't take an "expert" to use data to solve basic equations for determining mortality rates.
I'm not saying old people don't matter. Just that all this paranoia is unwarranted. Perfectly healthy people probably aren't going to die from this disease. There's no need for people to do anything any different than we do during regular flu season. Most of the old folks I know already don't go out much during the winter due to the risk of getting the flu, so it's not like they are having to completely change how they live. Just keep doing that and they'll be fine, and so will everyone else for the most part. That small a percentage of the population isn't worth tanking our entire economy.
You're right. It's not like China came out in January and stated they "accidentally" released the virus from a lab.
If you don't have the virus, then it's impossible to spread it to someone else. Common sense. Can't spread something you don't have. Normally I'd say if you don't test positive for it then you don't have it, but the test kits for Coronavirus are very unreliable, so it's possible to test multiple times over a 3 or 4 day stretch and get different results on each day. Also, learn how to use punctuation.
Not disinformation. China admitted back in January to creating the disease in a lab and "accidentally" releasing it.
Buddy you need to go look at who is most at risk. It's those over 80 and those with pre-existing medical conditions. The mortality rate for everyone else has been .2% worldwide. That's not worth the fuss that's being made.
The NCAA is just trying to save itself from further media criticism. All I heard on ESPN this morning was them bashing the NCAA and MLB for not having cancelled upcoming events yet.
Exactly. I crunched some numbers last night using official statistics on the disease and came to the conclusion that, at worst, the Coronavirus is no more than twice as deadly as the flu. The mortality rate from flu in healthy, non-elderly people is .1%. In those same people, the mortality rate from this virus has been .2%. That's just one more person out of every 1,000. If I had planned on going to the NCAA Tournament, I would have gladly taken that risk if it meant getting to watch March Madness, and likewise if I was a player or coach participating in it.
I'm not saying we can't get it from elderly people. I'm just saying that if a healthy, non-elderly person gets it, there's a 99.8% chance they won't die from it. That's roughly the same percentage as the regular flu.
It was hard to prepare ahead of time when China was deliberately withholding information on it from us so this exact situation would occur. That's why China created and released the disease in the first place.
This is complete ignorance. Sure, it sounds more dramatic to say that the mortality rate is 10x higher than the regular flu. But dig deeper and use some common sense, and you'll find out why that's misleading. Over 60% of deaths worldwide from the virus have been either people over 80, or people with pre-existing illnesses. Those people are more likely to die from ANY disease than other demographics. The mortality rate in people outside of those demographics has been .2% worldwide. The mortality rate from the seasonal flu is .18% worldwide. You are more likely to be struck by lightning or be in a fatal car crash than to die from Coronavirus. We don't bat an eye about having to drive to work everyday, but yet we are scared of a virus that isn't much different from the flu or pneumonia? Really people?
Yes. That's exactly what it is. That and the fear that it'll make for bad publicity in the main stream media to be the only organization that doesn't take extreme preventive measures.
What changed was it's an election year and the liberals saw a chance to use this to create paranoia and tank the economy to make Trump look bad.
Congratulations. You just described the flu.
There's no vaccine for the flu either. The flu shot is based on a guess at what strands of flu will be prominent for the coming season, based on the previous year's strands. It's just a guess. That's not a vaccine. That's the equivalent of taking a placebo for pain.
Months, even years of hard work and preparation, with nothing for any of these kids to show for it. If this is how we are going to act over a simple disease, then we might as well never play sports during the winter months since that's flu season. The coronavirus is nothing more than a new strand of flu created in a lab in China to disrupt our economy as a response to Trump's tariffs. It'll be pretty widespread this year, but after we've been exposed to it, it won't be a big deal. The liberal media saw a chance to use this to tank the economy and make Trump look bad in an election year, and they jumped at that chance.
Absolutely right. This is nothing more than a new strand of the flu. And like the flu, the vast majority of deaths are in either people over 80 or people with pre-existing medical conditions.