Let me know when Urban Meyer is on the CFP selection committee.
2014: OSU won't get past Bama. Everything will work out.
Ohio State loves playing Bama in the first round. It works out pretty well for them.
Actually, they are a division champ.
That's incorrect. First, let's take a look at the Big Ten's football tie-breaker rules: The following procedure will determine the representative from each division in the event of a tie: (a) If two teams are tied, the winner of the game between the two tied teams shall be the representative. (b) If three or more teams are tied, steps 1 through 6 will be followed until a determination is made. If only two teams remain tied after any step, the winner of the game between the two tied teams shall be the representative. The records of the three tied teams will be compared against each other. The records of the three tied teams will be compared within their division. The records of the three teams will be compared against the next highest placed teams in their division in order of finish (4, 5, 6, and 7). The records of the three teams will be compared against all common conference opponents. The team with the best overall winning percentage [excluding exempted games] shall be the representative. The representative will be chosen by random draw. Now, let's work through a few scenarios. 1. Penn State wins out, Ohio State and Michigan win remaining games with the Buckeyes knocking off the Wolverines in the final game of the regular season. Under this scenario, steps 1–4 would all result in ties, leading to step 5, which would remove Penn State (thanks, Pitt!). The Buckeyes would then get the nod because of the head-to-head win over the Wolverines. 2. Penn State drops another game, while Ohio State and Michigan win their remaining games up until they meet, with the Buckeyes winning “The Game” in Ohio Stadium. A month ago, the prospect of Penn State winning its five remaining games was laughable. Now, not so much. Michigan State is a tire fire, Iowa is back to being Iowa and the other three opponents are Indiana, Purdue and Rutgers. Still, it's far from guaranteed that Penn State will win out and should they drop a game, they'd fall out of a hypothetical three-way tie with Ohio State and Michigan in this scenario. The Buckeyes would then take the tie-breaker due to head-to-head record with the Wolverines. 3. Michigan loses multiple games, including the finale to Ohio State, while Penn State wins out. This is bad news for Ohio State fans as Penn State would have the head-to-head tie-breaker. 4. Ohio State loses a single game the rest of the way. If Ohio State loses another regular season game, you can likely kiss a Big Ten championship good bye. If the loss is at the hands of Michigan, you can definitely say adios.
Mixed signals? Or are people just not listening to what the selection committee actually is saying? 2014: Three COMPARABLE teams with one loss. When teams are COMPARABLE, other factors (Championships, etc) come into play. 2016: Committee said REPEATEDLY that PSU and OSU WERE NOT COMPARABLE teams. H2H, SoS, C Champs matter. If higher profiles were the end all be all, why didnt OSU go in last year? Last year was the same thing; Ohio State had 1 loss and were B10 East co-champs, just like this year. Last year, MSU had a better OOC resume (win over Oregon). This year, OSU does.
To be fair, they did win the B10 East; they were co-champs with Penn State. Penn State was selected to go to the B10 Championship game due to the tiebreaker.