ESPN FPI predicts outcome for No. 11 Florida-Florida State
Idle on November 23, the No. 11 Florida Gators (9-2) have the opportunity to reach the 10-win mark for the second straight season to begin head coach Dan Mullen’s tenure on Saturday when they host their in-state rival, the Florida State Seminoles (6-5), to close out the regular season.
Ranking 42nd in America at 34.2 points per game, redshirt junior Kyle Trask has done an admirable job of holding down the fort since classmate Feleipe Franks’ season-ending injury vs. Kentucky on September 14. Seeing action in a total of 10 games, Trask has completed 66.8% of his passes for 2,293 yards, 21 touchdowns and just six interceptions.
Priding themselves on their ability to run the football, Florida averages nearly 125 rushing yards per game on a touch better than four yards per carry. Also third on the team in receptions, senior Lamical Perine has led the Gators’ attack with 521 yards on the ground.
Making more headlines for their coaching search than their on-field play, the Seminoles have quietly won back-to-back games to move back above the .500 mark for the first time since September 28.
Racking up 17 touchdowns (13 rushing, four receiving), junior Cam Akers is Florida State’s most explosive player on the offensive side of the football. Securing near five yards per rush, Akers has been a security blanket for redshirt sophomore quarterback James Blackman since reclaiming the starting job from Wisconsin Badgers graduate transfer Alex Hornibrook.
First meeting in 1958, Florida holds the all-time edge over the Seminoles, 35-26-2. Looking to win consecutive games in the rivalry for the first time since 2008-09, ESPN’s Football Power Index gives the Gators a 91.9% chance to knock off Florida State.
Here’s a brief description of FPI:
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance moving forward. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.
Saturday’s action from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville will kick at 7:30PM ET on the SEC Network.