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Aday Mara and Yaxel Lendeborg.

College Basketball

Michigan vs. UConn: DFS picks for the National Championship Game

Spenser Davis

By Spenser Davis

Published:


Michigan will battle UConn in the National Championship Game on Monday evening.

The Huskies are looking to cement their dynasty with a 3rd national title in 4 years. Michigan, though, is a big favorite as it looks to cut down the nets for the first time since 1989.

Michigan vs. UConn DFS picks

Here are a couple of DFS pick ’em predictions for this game on Underdog Fantasy:

Yaxel Lendeborg, Michigan: higher than 13.5 points

This is a complicated pick because Yaxel Lendeborg is dealing with a leg injury in the lead-up to this game. His points projection is lower than it otherwise would have been, but heโ€™s still expected to play in the title game on Monday night. Unless Lendeborg is meaningfully compromised, I still think this projection is too low. He took 12, 13 and 19 shots in the 3 games that preceded the semifinal where he got hurt. Against Arizona, he took 4 shots in 14 minutes (making a trio of 3-pointers). Lendeborg has been the focal point of Michiganโ€™s offense during these high-stakes tournament games and I think heโ€™ll maintain enough usage even with the injury to get to 14 points.ย 

Braylon Mullins, UConn: lower than 12.5 points

I took the low side of Braylon Mullinsโ€™ points projection on Saturday and got burned. He busted out of his shooting slump, scoring 15 points behind 4-of-7 from 3-point range. But against a Wolverines defense that ranks No. 1 in adjusted defensive efficiency and No. 21 in opponent 3-point percentage, Iโ€™m fading Mullins again. I donโ€™t think heโ€™ll be taking 14+ shots again like he did against the Illini and we should see some 3-point percentage regression in this contest after he hit 57% in the semifinals. One other thing to consider (albeit a small sample): 3-point percentage in championship games has been abysmal in recent years, even relative to semifinal production. Combined 3-point percentage has been 30% or worse in each of the last 4 National Championship Games.ย If that trend holds up, it will put a cap on Mullins’ scoring potential more so than any other player in this game.

Here’s the current odds for this game on Kalshi:

Prediction Markets
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Kalshi
Michigan
99%
UConn
1%

Spenser Davis

Spenser is a news editor for Saturday Down South and covers college football across all Saturday Football brands.

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