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ESPN’s FPI predicts the outcome of every SEC Week 4 game

SDS Staff

By SDS Staff

Published:

The Week 4 SEC slate is loaded again with 13 teams in action spread out over X games.

Conference clashes are starting to pick up, though some teams are playing out-of-conference opponents. The Southwest Classic features the marquee matchup of No. 7 Texas A&M vs. No. 16 Arkansas at Jerry World in Dallas. Other conference clashes include Georgia-Vanderbilt, LSU-Mississippi State, Florida-Tennessee and Kentucky-South Carolina.

Here’s how ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) projects the outcome of each of the 8 Week 4 games featuring SEC teams:

  • Georgia (98.9 percent chance to win) vs. Vanderbilt
  • Mississippi State (55.9) percent vs. LSU
  • Missouri (27.6 percent) at Boston College
  • Texas A&M (57.4 percent) vs. Arkansas (Dallas)
  • Auburn (97.2 percent) vs. Georgia State
  • Florida (88.6 percent) vs. Tennessee
  • South Carolina (56 percent) vs. Kentucky
  • Alabama (99.3 percent) vs. Southern Miss

Here’s how ESPN defines the FPI:

FPI is a predictive rating system designed to measure team strength and project performance going forward. The ultimate goal of FPI is not to rank teams 1 through 128; rather, it is to correctly predict games and season outcomes. If Vegas ever published the power rankings it uses to set its lines, they would likely look quite a lot like FPI.

SDS Staff

Saturday Down South reports and comments on the news around the Southeastern Conference as well as larger college football topics.

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