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Week 1 of SEC action is almost here.
On Monday, ESPN’s Bill Connelly — architect of SP+ — published score predictions for every Week 1 college football game. Here’s a summary of all the predictions involving a SEC team this weekend:
- Arkansas 58, Arkansas Pine Bluff 0
- Missouri 58, Murray State 51
- Oklahoma 50, Temple 6
- Georgia 36, Clemson 20
- Virginia Tech 36, Vanderbilt 21
- Tennessee 47, Chattanooga 10
- Texas 50, Colorado State 9
- Florida 30, Miami 30
- South Carolina 39, Old Dominion 14
- Mississippi State 37, Eastern Kentucky 16
- Ole Miss 50, Furman 11
- Alabama 46, Western Kentucky 14
- Auburn 53, Alabama A&M 0
- Notre Dame 29, Texas A&M 27
- Kentucky 44, Southern Miss 12
- LSU 41, USC 31
Although score predictions are rounded to the nearest whole number, Connelly did clarify that SP+ favors the Gators ever-so-slightly in their Week 1 matchup vs. Miami. The score prediction in that game is officially Florida 30.1, Miami 29.8.
https://twitter.com/ESPN_BillC/status/1828175615385538729
It’s worth noting that SP+ does not account for things like injuries. Thus, Notre Dame is still favored over Texas A&M despite losing left tackle Charles Jagusah for the season during fall camp. Betting markets went from making Notre Dame a slight favorite to having Texas A&M favored by as many as 3 points in that matchup this month.
SP+ projections have the SEC favored in 14 of 16 games this week, with Texas A&M and Vanderbilt being the only exceptions. The Commodores are big home underdogs against an experienced Virginia Tech team in Week 1. Five SEC teams are set to face power-conference opposition in Week 1.
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Spenser is a news editor for Saturday Down South and covers college football across all Saturday Football brands.