Related: SEC Rivalry Week lineup and schedule
I went 4-4 ATS last week, and Kevin finished 3-5, with the difference being the Vanderbilt-Tennessee outcome. I still lead 62-40 ATS and 86-16 overall, while Kevin is 55-47 ATS and 82-20 overall.
Let’s roll on to Rivalry Week…
Ole Miss (-3) at Mississippi State
Jon: This could be a trendy upset pick, especially with it being in Starkville. I would love to pick MSU with QB Dak Prescott, but he’s out. I think this will be a lower scoring game than some anticipate with two underrated defenses. Rebels win and cover. Ole Miss 29, Mississippi State 24
Kevin: I’m going with a scrappy Miss State team fighting for respect to keep this game close. I like Ole Miss in the end but within the field goal spread. Ole Miss 22, Miss State 21.
Arkansas at #17 LSU (-25.5)
Jon: This one could turn ugly fast with it being in Death Valley. The Tigers are coming off a huge win, while the Hogs are coming off a heartbreaking loss. Tigers roll and cover. LSU 41, Arkansas 13
Kevin: LSU is playing good football and will win handily. LSU 38, Arkansas 10.
#2 FSU (-27) at Florida
Jon: Along with LSU-Arkansas, this is the most lopsided game in college football during Rivalry Week. I just don’t see Florida moving the ball at all on offense against FSU’s nasty defense. Noles win and cover. FSU 38, Florida 10
Kevin: Normally I’d say Florida keeps this close because of Florida’s talent on defense and the intense hatred these teams have for eachother, but it appears that Muschamp has lost his team and the players don’t believe they can keep this one close. Florida State 41, Florida 7.
Wake Forest at Vanderbilt (-14.5)
Jon: Vanderbilt has been winning close games, and although Wake isn’t a great team, Vandy shouldn’t blow them out. I like Vanderbilt to win but Wake to cover. Vanderbilt 24, Wake Forest 17
Kevin: Vanderbilt will win, and I agree with Jon, it won’t be a blow out. Vandy 28, Wake Forest 20.
#1 Alabama (-11) at #4 Auburn
Jon: The SEC’s Game of the Week should turn into a thriller, and it sets up for an epic night in Jordan-Hare Stadium. I think through three quarters these two teams will be neck and neck; however, I like Alabama to pull away late in the fourth…maybe with a turnover or a pick-six. Alabama wins and covers. Alabama 38, Auburn 25
Kevin: Auburn has had a hell of a season, but this game, they’ll realize they still have a ways to go to beat Alabama. Saban will be ready for the ground game, and I’m not sure Auburn has enough to pick on Alabama’s secondary. I like them to pull away big in the second half. Alabama 41, Auburn 24.
Georgia (-3) at Georgia Tech
Jon: Who knows how Hutson Mason will play in his first start on the road in a rivalry game, but it will hurt not seeing Aaron Murray out there slinging the rock. I like Georgia to win, but Tech will make this one way too close and could pull the upset. Georgia 38, GA Tech 37
Kevin: I’m going with Georgia getting fired up and playing good football here despite losing their leader in Aaron Murray. Georgia 35, GT 24.
Tennessee (-4.5) at Kentucky
Jon: This game could literally go either way, and Kentucky feels they can win this one. I like the Vols to win, but UK covers and makes is way too close for comfort. Tennessee 21, Kentucky 17
Kevin: Tennessee gets a needed win to close the season and build some small momentum for Butch Jones. Tennessee 24, Kentucky 14.
#6 Clemson at #10 South Carolina (-4.5)
Jon: In what should be another thriller, the Gamecocks have owned Clemson the last several years. The biggest key to me is Jadeveon Clowney. He needs to dominate the line of scrimmage one more time against the Tigers. Carolina wins but Clemson covers. South Carolina 35, Clemson 31
Kevin: South Carolina plays up and down to their competition. They’ll get up and play up to Clemson and win. South Carolina 38, Clemson 31.
#21 Texas A&M at #5 Missouri (-4.5)
Jon: No BCS bowl; no Heisman Trophy; what is there left to play for if you’re Texas A&M? Missouri has everything to play for, but TAMU won’t just lie down. Mizzou is better than what most think, and I think they take care of business against a tired TAMU offense. Mizzou 39, Texas A&M 34
Kevin: One of the more entertaining games of the weekend most likely…this one has the makings of a suprise with some magic from Manziel, but I’m going to bet on Mizzou who has been doing it all year. They win a close one. Mizzou 41, Texas A&M 38.