Greg McElroy broke down Alabama’s regular season win total on an episode of Always College Football this week.

The Tide’s total currently sits at 9.5, according to the latest lines from ESPN BET. A bet on the over is priced at +110 while the under is -140.

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McElroy discussed Alabama’s offseason so far as well as its difficult schedule. McElroy highlighted several potential losses for the Tide, but ultimately said he’s optimistic about Alabama’s 2024 campaign.

“You look at it, how many games are losable? I mean, 5, perhaps? How many do you really think they’re going to lose?” McElroy said. “Man, I have hard time thinking Alabama is going to lose once, maybe twice, on their home field this year. I just don’t see it. Whether they get Georgia, get Missouri, get Auburn … I just don’t think it’s likely they’re going to lose multiple games on their home field. They might lose one, but I can’t imagine them losing multiple.

“Now, on the road at Tennessee, extremely difficult game. On the road at LSU, very difficult game. And that road trip to Oklahoma right before the Iron Bowl is also very challenging.”

In comparing Alabama to Ole Miss (whose win total is also 9.5), McElroy favored the Crimson Tide.

“So, right now, based on the win total that is presented to us, between Ole Miss and Alabama, I would lean just ever so slightly in favor of Alabama. But, at the same time, I think Ole Miss is right there. I think both of these teams will ultimately end up in the College Football Playoff.”

Alabama has not won fewer than 10 games in a regular-season since 2010 when the Tide went 9-3 before earning a 10th win in the Orange Bowl.

Alabama will open the Kalen DeBoer era against Western Kentucky on Aug. 31 in Tuscaloosa.

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