What a difference one game can make.

The embattled Florida head coach seemed just one loss away from losing his job and as a 13-point underdog to Georgia, many believed the Florida-Georgia game would fittingly be Will Muschamp’s last stand.

However, things played out a little different than most imagined. The Gators won handily and Muschamp earned arguably the biggest win of his coaching career.

Because of the huge upset, talk is now shifting from discussing the next Florida head coach to whether Muschamp could actually save his job over these next few weeks.

There’s still a lot of uncertainty and no one can quite get inside athletic director Jeremy Foley’s head and know what he’s thinking, but let’s go over some scenarios in regard to Florida’s performance and Muschamp’s job security.

Remaining Florida Gators schedule

  • 11/8 at Vanderbilt
  • 11/15 vs. South Carolina
  • 11/22 vs. E. Kentucky
  • 11/29 at No. 2 Florida State

Best Case Scenario

With four games remaining, the Gators have three very winnable games ahead, including two SEC games. Muschamp and the Gators continuing running the football like its 2012 and not much pressure is thrusted upon the arm of Treon Harris. Kelvin Taylor and Matt Jones continue their hot streak and literally carry the Florida offense to three straight wins.

Against Florida State, the Gators are once again double-digit underdogs, but records never matter in a rivalry game like this. Florida channels its 2012 victory against the Seminoles and capitalize on several FSU turnovers and squeak out an improbable win in Doak Campbell Stadium.

As for Muschamp, winning out would virtually guarantee his return to Florida for the 2015 season. Despite the early-season struggles, the Gators would have won five straight games, including two victories against ranked rival teams. Add in Treon Harris’ bright future at quarterback and there would simply be too many factors going in Muschamp’s favor to fire him.

Of course, at that point I’m not sure many Florida fans would still want him gone anyway. With how bad Florida looked at times, it would be an impressive turnaround to finish with an 8-3 (9-3 if the Gators played Idaho) record and likely in the final Top 25. That’s certainly above what many said Muschamp would need to do to keep his job before the season as well.

Result: Florida wins remaining four games and Muschamp stays at UF

Worst Case Scenario

Florida wins both games against Vanderbilt and Eastern Kentucky, but in unconvincing fashion. Treon Harris looks rattled and can’t handle the big lights of SEC football. The defensive communication issues rear its ugly head again and the Gators are throttled by South Carolina’s offense. Steve Spurrier finishes his SEC season with a win at The Swamp and Florida limps into its matchup against Florida State, only to be blown out.

The Gators finish 6-5 and go to a bowl-game against a mid-tier Big-10 team. Muschamp completely loses the faith of the fan base and the embarrassing losses to Florida State and South Carolina send Muschamp packing.

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If this scenario were to occur, I highly doubt this is the “progress” Foley wanted to see out of his program in 2014. Muschamp would have lost three games at home, all to unranked teams. He would finish with a 17-15 record in the SEC and goes just 2-6 against rivals Georgia and FSU. Not many coaches, if any, would survive these kinds of horrendous records.

Result: Florida loses to both South Carolina and FSU; Muschamp is fired after the season

Most Realistic Scenario

In the most likely situation, the Gators take care of business against Vanderbilt, South Carolina and Eastern Kentucky. The Gamecocks are easily the best opponent out of those three, but with the home-field advantage and the way they’ve been struggling lately, the Gators should be a favorite in that matchup.

Obviously, the big moment comes against Florida State. As stated above, if the Gators win you can count Muschamp back as Florida’s head coach for 2015. The interesting aspect will be if the Gators lose to the Florida State.

The deck will be stacked against them going into the game. FSU will likely still be undefeated and one of the top ranked teams in college football. Florida shouldn’t win that game and no one will realistically expect them to win. However, the difference will come in how the Gators lose to the Seminoles.

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A loss similar to that like the Gators suffered against Missouri probably won’t cut it for Florida fans or Jeremy Foley, no matter how big of underdogs the team is going into that game.

On the other hand, if the Gators keep it close and competitive I believe there’s a real argument to keep Muschamp around. You look at where this team was at the beginning of the year and how the Gators finished 4-1 and it’s a big step forward. The fact that the players love playing for Muschamp and his popularity within the athletic department help push him over the edge and he would likely earn himself the 2015 season.

At that point, firing Muschamp would easily halt any progress or momentum the program accumulated at the end of the season.

Result: Florida finishes 3-1 with a close loss to FSU; Muschamp stays for another season

Result: Florida finishes 3-1 with a blowout loss to FSU; Muschamp is fired