Following the release of the season’s first College Football Playoff rankings, ESPN has calculated each of the current top-four team’s chances of winning the title.

Given the current top four, it’s no surprise that No. 1 Alabama is the favorite, having a 43-percent chance of lifting the title trophy:

Texas A&M, the surprise No. 4 team in the country, has only a 10-percent chance, likely based on the fact that the Aggies already lost to the Crimson Tide 33-14 a couple of weeks ago (but don’t tell that to David Pollack).

Obviously, there’s still a long way to go this season and a lot could change quickly, but it’s always nice to see where teams stand as the year progresses.