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College Basketball

DFS Picks: Top Underdog plays for Tuesday’s SEC slate (Feb. 4)

Spenser Davis

By Spenser Davis

Published:


There are several intriguing college basketball matchups set for Tuesday, Feb. 4, including a battle between Auburn and Oklahoma as well as a top-25 showdown between Ole Miss and Kentucky.

The slate features 3 SEC games in total as the league nears the midway point of its conference schedule. Florida will also be in action against Vanderbilt as the Gators look to bounce back from their blowout loss to Tennessee over the weekend.

Best DFS picks for Tuesday, Feb. 4

Below are 4 picks for Tuesday evening that can be found on Underdog Fantasy. If you’re new to Underdog, be sure to use our exclusive Underdog promo code SDS to earn up to $1,000 in bonus cash when you sign up.

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Johni Broome higher than 11.5 rebounds

Auburn will host a good-but-not great Oklahoma team on Tuesday night. The Sooners have had their moments this season, but they’ve been consistently bad on the glass all year. They run an undersized front court with 6-foot-10 Sam Goodwin starting at center and Porter Moser has seemingly not made many adjustments from a scheme perspective to help OU out on the boards. Oklahoma ranks 242nd in offensive rebounding rate and 306th in defensive rebounding rate entering Tuesday’s slate. They’re in the bottom 3 of the SEC in both categories in conference play, as well. 

On the other side, Johni Broome is one of the best rebounders in the entire country. He ranks in the top 20 in both offensive rebounding rate and defensive rebounding rate amongst qualified players, per KenPom. Broome has cleared this projection in each of his last 3 games since returning from injury. He’s averaging 11.2 rebounds per contest this season and will now face one of the worst rebounding teams in the SEC. It’s an excellent matchup for one of college basketball’s best players. 

Jeremiah Fears lower than 13.5 points

We’re sticking with the Oklahoma-Auburn game here. Freshman guard Jeremiah Fears has been one of the biggest surprises in the country this season as he’s established himself as a likely lottery pick in the 2025 NBA Draft. But Fears has been inconsistent at times in conference play, particularly on the road. He scored 0 against Texas A&M last week and previously had just 5 points in a road loss to Georgia. 

Fears’ super power is his ability to get into the paint. He’s not a good 3-point shooter yet (just 27% on the year) and his mid-range game isn’t polished yet either. He’s great at getting to the rim or finding a teammate once he’s created an advantage off the bounce. This seems like a tough matchup for him, as Auburn is holding opponents to just 55.6% shooting at the rim this season, per CBB Analytics. That’s far below the Division I average. Fears has also had some turnover issues at times this season — as freshman guards often do — and will now face an Auburn defense that ranks 5th in defensive turnover rate in the SEC. That may not directly contribute to his scoring output (or lack thereof) but it could cause Porter Moser to limit his minutes. Fears has played 26 minutes or fewer in losses to Alabama, Texas A&M (twice) and Georgia at least in-part due to turnover problems. 

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Sean Pedulla higher than 24.5 points + rebounds + assists

Sean Pedulla has been quietly awesome so far this season for Ole Miss. He’s led the charge for a Rebels program that’s on pace to earn its first NCAA Tournament berth since 2019. His 3-point accuracy (40.3%) and volume (6.1 attempts per game) are the biggest reasons why Pedulla has translated so well in the SEC after transferring from Virginia Tech. But he’s also shooting a respectable 51% on 2-point tries and is north of 60% at the rim, per BartTorvik. 

This matchup against Kentucky looks especially promising for Pedulla. First, the Wildcats’ defense has been extremely poor over the past few weeks. But more specifically, UK has been bad in a way that Pedulla can exploit. Kentucky concedes a higher percentage of 3-point attempts than anyone else in the SEC — 53% of all opponent field goal tries come from beyond the arc through 8 games. Kentucky has allowed SEC opponents to make 33% of those tries as well. Pedulla should be able to out-perform that efficiency while still taking advantage of a high volume of attempts. Pedulla is also averaging 3.4 assists and 3 rebounds per game in SEC play. Kentucky’s bad defense should give Pedulla more potential assists than a typical game as well. 

Alex Condon higher than 9.5 rebounds + assists

Florida is in a bit of an unpredictable spot for this game as guard Walter Clayton Jr. is questionable with an injury. Clayton leads UF in usage rate, so if he’s out, it would significantly impact Florida’s operations on offense. That could open up even more opportunity than usual for Condon. But even if Clayton does play, Condon getting to at least 10 rebounds + assists seems attainable. His combined average for those categories is 11.8 in SEC play. He’s recorded double-digit rebounds in half of Florida’s SEC games this season. He’s also picked up multiple assists in all but 1 SEC game so far in 2024-25. 

There’s nothing in Vanderbilt’s defensive profile that would indicate this is a bad matchup for Condon. The Commodores have one of the league’s worst defenses and are middle-of-the-pack when it comes to rebounding. Vandy doesn’t play anyone bigger than 6-foot-8, so the 6-foot-11 Condon will have a big size advantage on the glass in this matchup. 

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Spenser Davis

Spenser is a news editor for Saturday Down South and covers college football across all Saturday Football brands.

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