Courtesy of a 26-yard field goal by junior Seth Small as time ran out, the Texas A&M Aggies upset the then-No. 4 Florida Gators, 41-38, on October 10.

Returning home to Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, the Gators, now-ranked No. 10, will look to return to the win column against the LSU Tigers (1-2) on Saturday.

ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) released their updated projections for Florida’s remaining schedule, and, despite the loss, they are still high on the outlook for Dan Mullen’s program the rest of the way.

Before we look at the odds for each contest left on the slate, here is a quick reminder of how FPI is calculated:

“The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance for the rest of the season.

“FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.”

  • Oct. 17 vs. LSU: 70.4 percent chance to win
  • Oct. 24 vs. Missouri: 86.7 percent
  • Nov. 7 vs. No. 3 Georgia: 29.5 percent
  • Nov. 14 vs. Arkansas: 86.1 percent
  • Nov. 21 at Vanderbilt: 96.4 percent
  • Nov. 28 vs. Kentucky: 82.6 percent
  • Dec. 5 at No. 18 Tennessee: 65.6 percent

These projections have the Gators finishing the 10-game campaign at 8-2.

Allowing 543 yards of total offense in their loss to the Aggies, an average of 7.3 yards per snap, Florida fans have been expressing their frustration with defensive coordinator Todd Grantham, whose unit many feel is squandering the program’s best offense since the Urban Meyer days.

Saturday’s battle with LSU will kick at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.