
Billy Napier needs a rivalry win, and Saturday night in The Swamp is his chance
Billy Napier comes from the foothills of northwestern Georgia, a place where the days move slow and patience is an expectation, not simply a virtue.
That’s where Napier watched his dad, Bill Napier, methodically build a state power in tiny Chatsworth with three fundamental principles: meticulously make a plan, focus on the process of executing that plan, persist and persist, even in the face of adversity.
“If you do those three things, and you do it with class and without compromising your integrity, you’re going to succeed more times than not. That’s what Billy believes and it’s definitely something he took from his Dad,” Kirby Smart recalled when speaking about Florida’s new head coach last October. “That belief and commitment is what has made him so successful so far.”
Napier’s commitment to patience and process made him an assistant coach Nick Saban called “invaluable” and a coach whose intellect and work ethic Smart praised. It made him successful at Louisiana, where he he inherited a mess of a program but turned it around to win consecutive Sun Belt championships.
What it hasn’t done is earn him patience from the Florida fan base.
This is hardly a surprising development.
Florida is the SEC’s second-winningest program (Alabama) since the league fully integrated in 1972. The Gators had 2 SEC titles vacated by the league in the 1980s, won 5 SEC championships in the 1990s under Steve Spurrier and seemed to compete for the national title annually. The next decade Florida won 2 national championships under Urban Meyer and nearly captured another before falling to Alabama in the SEC title game in 2009. That extended stretch of success created an environment where Gators fans felt as entitled to win as Floridians are entitled to sunshine. The little details, like Florida falling behind in the facilities arms race, being one of just a few SEC programs without a stand alone football building, and having a miniscule recruiting budget compared to fellow SEC behemoths Alabama, LSU and Georgia, didn’t matter to Gators fans. This was Florida, and they were supposed to roll the ball out, pitch it around the lot, and win ball games.
The pressure cooker of the SEC isn’t unique to Florida but history suggests it is especially pronounced in Gainesville, which has had only 1 coach — Meyer — make it to Year 5 since Spurrier left in after the 2001 season.
Napier took the job aware of all this, of course.
“You might hate me at first,” he famously warned Gator nation at his introductory press conference, trying to hint at the time he felt it would take to restore Florida to national prominence.
What Napier didn’t expect, I imagine, was that many Florida fans would turn on him early in Year 2.
That’s what happened, however, when the Gators fell 24-11 at No. 14 Utah in their season-opener on August 31.
It wasn’t that Florida lost to the back-to-back Pac-12 champions on the road.
It was the way Florida lost. Five red-zone possessions with only 1 score. Ill-timed penalties, including one where 2 players wore the same number on the field, gifting Utah a first down. A quarter of football where they gained 108 yards to Utah’s 12 and were outscored 7-0 due to a disastrous turnover. Florida looked poorly coached and ill-prepared.
Perhaps Florida fans could stomach a long rebuild. After all, it has been 15 years since the Gators won the SEC championship, and only 4 of their teams since (2009, 2012, 2019, 2020) felt like they truly could have won the coveted conference crown. What they can’t stomach, what they have dealt with too often in the past 15 years, is being embarrassed.
The list is truly long and includes: a Sugar Bowl flop against former defensive coordinator and favored son Charlie Strong’s Louisville, a home loss to FCS Georgia Southern, a run of FSU dominance that coincided with their own futility, a 5-touchdown loss in the 2016 SEC Championship Game, a coach who made up death threats and was (falsely) accused of being intimate with a shark, allowing a 50-burger at home to Samford, and the rise of archrival Georgia to dynasty mode.
Through it all, one common thread has largely remained.
The Gators have beaten rival Tennessee.
Florida has won 16 of the past 18 against the Vols and hasn’t lost at home to Tennessee since George W. Bush’s first term as President.
Even woeful Florida teams have beaten the Vols in The Swamp, managing the feat in 3 of Florida’s 4 losing seasons over the past 10 years (2013, 2017, and 2021, respectively).
Napier, though, has yet to win a rivalry game. He went 0-4 against Florida’s 4 main rivals last year (Tennessee, LSU, Georgia and Florida State), becoming the first Florida coach since Charley Pell in 1979 to go winless in rivalry games during his first season in Gainesville.
Florida fans are tired of losing. They are even more tired of losing to rivals.
Part of this is generational, a chip-on-the-shoulder mentality that has surrounded Florida football since the Gators’ early days in the SEC. Always viewed as “outsiders” in a league dominated by “Deep South” institutions, Florida has collected rivals like a young boy collects Avengers toys. The Gators are the lone SEC program with 4 annual rivalry games, and only SEC scheduling prevents Florida from playing a 5th rivalry game (Auburn) each season. Miami, another dormant Florida rival, also only occasionally pops up on Florida’s scheduling radar.
Not long ago, before his passing, I walked through a hydrangea and rose garden with Napier’s fellow Georgian, Vince Dooley, and asked the Georgia coaching legend what it was that made Florida so easy to dislike. Dooley, a humble man who taught Sunday School and rarely took himself too seriously, was uncharacteristically animated when I brought up the Gators.
“Nobody likes Florida,” Dooly told me. “From the beginning, they just never seemed to fit in with the rest of our league. Is that fair? I don’t know. I suppose maybe not. Maybe that’s like judging who is new money in a church pew on Sunday morning. But it was easy to want to beat the Gators because everyone wants to beat them. Tennessee, Auburn, LSU. Georgia just wanted to more than others.”
Florida fans are a prideful bunch and always seemed keenly aware of this level of neighborly disdain.
That’s why these rivalry games, as many as them as they have collected, matter so much.
Saturday night in The Swamp, Napier needs to win one of those for the fans.
The impact on Florida’s fan base would be immense.
A win would calm the stormy waters of doubt surrounding Napier’s future and earn Napier trust and patience as he moves forward. It would suggest that on the field, things are slowly looking up, an encouraging thing given how well things are going off the field (Napier’s 2024 recruiting class ranks 3rd nationally and Florida’s facilities are now the best in the league after years of investment and construction).
The impact on this year’s team would be massive, too.
It’s easy to buy in, to believe in a process in summer camp and spring workouts.
It’s harder when all the buy-in doesn’t result in winning.
Doubt and despair creep in and slowing the tailspin is a tall order.
Tennessee will be a tall order, too. The Vols won 11 games last season — including a 38-33 streak-ender over the Gators. They are well-coached, and bring their best team to Gainesville since 2015, when Florida needed a 4th-quarter miracle to win. To win, Florida will need to play a clean, complete game, something they haven’t done often, if at all, under Napier.
In the SEC, patience is a virtue rarely earned.
To gain a bit of it, Napier must win Saturday night in The Swamp.
Unfair or not, it will grow more difficult to trust the process if Florida and Napier fail.
I think Napier is a good coach and could bring us back to the top But he needs time to develop. If your a gator fan and thought before the season started that we were making the playoffs than your delusional, Your expectations effects your mindset of the coach. If you think championship and the coach doesn’t deliver you scream fire him. That sets a bad image to other coaches and future recruits who are not only committing to the university but to the coach as well (i.e Dion at Colorado) If you fire the coach the recruits leave. Trust the process id give Napier 2 more years to figure it out before I cast judgment on him
“But he needs time to develop”
How much time? He was hired in 2021 and was already a head football coach.
How Much time ???
Ronnie, he was hired just one fraking season ago.
One season and 2 games Ronnie.
Certainly a lot more time than that Ronnie
Yess Billy needs time but will he be allowed that. His mega-buyout buys some time but how many years? I hope his very slow, methodical plan works.
“Ronnie, he was hired just one fraking season ago.
”
Like I asked earlier…..HOW MUCH TIME?
Can’t imagine why anyone would think Ron is being snarky. His posts are usually so civil and constructive
Ron, allow me explain what the issue is that requires “patience” to resolve. Only 11 UF players, including two starters (C Kingsley Eguakun and DB Jason Marshall Jr,) remain that played in the 2021 UT game in the Swamp.
This Gator squad is not only very young, but also most of its upper class-men have little actual playing experience. The UF squad comes in at #109 out of 133 FBS schools in playing experience. For contrast, Auburn ranks at #39 and Tennessee at #47.
In the SEC, talent is king but playing experience, especially vs. SEC competition, is queen.
If you don’t believe me, ask Nick Saban after last Saturday. His Tide came into that game at #1 in talent and #127 in experience. How did that turn out for them?
StLGator
I just asked a simple question. Nothing more, nothing less. It was not a snarky question.
Ron, I gave you a respectful, informative answer. I wouldn’t have done that if I believed you were being snarky.
Very impressive analysis Stl
Now available – the Cliff Notes for SwampLife239’s Post:
“If your a gator fan … your delusional, Your expectations effects your mindset … you scream fire him … a bad image … give Napier … more years to figure it out”
Swamplife is the most self-aware UF the World has ever seen!
If you were self-aware you wouldn’t be commenting on a Gator article.
I strongly agree across-the-board here…Unfortunately, however, as it turns out Coach and team REALLY DO need a “rivalry win” NOW. I believe he needed, deserved and was probably PROMISED five full seasons to ensure a fair chance to put us back to annually competing for Championships.
But fair or not, right or wrong, the situational reality here is that exile not “make or break” in totality, a win this Saturday would go a long way towards calming the prematurely stormy waters. Maybe not assure restoration of the probably always unrealistic “5 years”, but shut a sizeable enough portion of the loudest-mouthed spoiled fools to provide enough of a breathing space for this program to solidly establish itself. Give Billy, staff and the team they have clearly already begun to build another couple of full seasons, continued recruiting cycles and the full installation of the developing culture and all tge current angst will be dim memories. Impatiently and impulsively part ways too soon and it will only mean M.O.S.for ANOTHER generation.
Nobody is promised five years. Especially in today’s environment, three should be max.
The trajectory of the buyout in this case almost guarantees Napier four years. That’s what I expect he’ll get, unless he pulls a Fitzgerald or Tucker.
If the team shows some improvement, I can see that. If the team is still winning 6 or 7 after three, I’m going to hope for a fourth year. I doubt many gator fans would be onboard with that.
The point I’m making is that the buyout after three years is still prohibitive. I don’t believe Gator boosters will pay it, even if the team is still hovering around 6-7 wins per season. They will only buy out the fifth season.
I watch media and Aggie fans going bat-excrement-crazy about firing Jimbo after aTm laid that egg in Miami on Saturday and I just laugh. I’d love to see Aggie boosters pony up $70+ million to make Jimbo go away.
“What it hasn’t done is earn him patience from the Florida fan base.”
SDS writersFlorida fan base
Does not equal…I guess you can’t use certain characters on SDS comments.
I thought the same thing. The impatient ones are the SDS writers, impaired fans like LadyGaGa, and your assorted collection of trolls
But, boy are they noisy! Yikes!!!
Agreed, apparently SDS writers represent all of Gator nation. All the fans I know understand that CBN needs at least 4 years barring a scandal.
Why would any coach need four years in today’s environment? Do you see what Sanders is doing at Colorado. How about Kelly at LSU?
The real trick is sustainable winning, year after year. Saban, Smart and Swinney have done it for many years and their formulas are very similar.
What Sanders is doing at Colorado is remarkable and unique. However, he’s a special brand onto himself. It draws players to him like bees to honey. However, this is just year one and he may be one-and-done and on to the NFL.
The jury’s still out on Kelly and Dykes. Don’t forget Dykes. Neither have had very impressive starts to 2023 and 2022 is yesterday’s news. You can ask Orgeron about how long yesterday’s news carries you these days.
LSUSMC, I say 4 years because he needs time to clean house and then bring in his players and give them experience and time to gel as a team. Look at what Norvell has accomplished in his 4th year and starting out badly the first 2 seasons. About Deion, it’s only been 2 games, we’ll see how they’re doing later in the season, and if it’s sustainable throughout the years.
I have to set the record straight: McElweird was a total freak, and he did experience an amorous moment with a shark. It is not a false claim. Also, don’t forget, he was known to stain his deformed teeth yellow as part of a twisted erotic ritual.
He was brought in because he was supposedly an offensive mastermind, but his offenses were among the worst we have seen, plus he was always digging his fingers into his armpits and then smelling them while the players looked on in disgust.
Lol
truth…Billy needs to hire an Offensive Coordinator. His methodical nature creeps into his play calling, and the plays need to be relayed to the team quickly. The team must know and believe in the plays to run them well.
AFan, Billy will hire an OC once he has the offensive talent pool to turn over to him to coordinate. Or, Billy will lose his job, because boring offense is offensive to Gator Nation.
The over/under season is 2025. His new OC will be in place by 2025. Or a new HC will take over a much more talented team in 2026.
If the Gator offense continues to be pedestrian with Billy as OC, of course.
I thought Saturday was the most creative game he has called.
Maybe start with beating us and Vandy.
I agree but don’t worry, after Tenn you will be next
No, that powerhouse Charlotte is next. Then UK!
Thanks Captain Obvious but as a fan I’m allowed to overlook a cupcake and move on to the next game. Don’t turn into a Leghumper with the nitpicking or I’ll have to come up with a special nickname fot you
Just kidding Cojo! Man, who pissed in your cornflakes yesterday?
Ha. I got you this time.
I was kidding too.
Need to keep you on your toes
;-) LOL!
we all need a win saturday. The UT fanbase is not much more tolerant than the florida fanbase. In fact if youre a fan of most of the top teams in the sec you probably are not very tolerant. Or should I say patient. Anyway, unfortunately, if we lose the calls for nico will probably start. it will be too soon but then if things spiral it may not be too soon. Win and live to fight another day. Lose and prepare for the legion of doom to ascend on your troops. Its just the sec human nature.
Right on, except the SDS writers make it seem this problem is unique to the Gators
I’m not sure Billy needs a win vs. Tennessee(but it surely would be sweet !) to quell the noise in the fan base. Florida needs to play a competitive game for four(4) Quaters…look like they are a SEC team.
Go Gators !
Ah, but Billy MUST BE PUNISHED for failing to develop AR15 into the next coming of Joe Burrow in one season. SDS is just doing their part, alongside ESPN, The Athletic and SI. I’m sure I missed others.
Note that Florida local media is not nearly as strident as the national media. That’s because the locals got to see AR15 up close for a full season plus and better understand his limitations as well as his many talents.
The sports media still treat Mullen as a QB expert. And when Mullen was faced with losing his job he still didn’t put Richardson in.
The sports media was all in on Mullen giving Emory Jones his “fair shot” in 2021, after the red headed stepchild dominated the Gator QB position for almost 2 years. Yet, Mullen caved into their pressure by the end of October, threw AR15 at the Dawgs and the kid proceeded fall on his face. Then, he damaged his knee the following week showing off his break dancing moves in the hotel lobby before the USCe game.
That scuttled any further AR15 damage to Mullen’s QB whisperer reputation.
Correction. Rather than 0/4 he’s actually 1/5, did you forget they beat Mizzou in the Swamp last season?
Mizzou is not one of there traditional rivals.
Didn’t have the heart to let him know
LOL, it wont be long at this rate!
Not to worry Booches. Mizzou has to amount to something more than cannon fodder before anybody in the SEC above Arkansas considers them a “rival.”
If that’s the case StLGator then Maybe Florida should starting beating Mizzou more than Mizzou beats them. Haha, Hmm…
You can allow patience if there is a known process in place and the process is moving forward. I’m not sure that is the case at Florida, but we certainly don’t know yet. Bringing in Mertz from the portal did not help with folks having confidence in Napier. Both teams seriously need this win. We will see who gets it.
Mertz is completing passes at a nifty rate of 74%, for over 250 yds/ game, with 2 TDs and one INT. Mertz is NOT the Gators offense’s problem right now.
That brand new five-some in their OL is. If they could only pull together into one cohesive unit that understands assignments on blitzes and doesn’t false start five times a game, you may be surprised at what the Mertzinator might accomplish this season.
He’s definitely not been the problem so far. O line as you suggest STL.
He was bad against Utah. 32 QBR or something like that. I watched the whole game. Not at all impressed. His QBR doubled against McNeese when throwing against air. If y’all want to adopt the Napier line about him being the best in the portal, so be it. I’m not. Maybe I change my mind Saturday, but he’s got to play well against a decent opponent to do that.
Yes and so do Milton, Devin Leary, Milroe, Weigman and others supposedly much better QBs that have done nothing against the good teams they have played and have looked pedestrian against bad teams. At least Mertz looked real good against the cupcake, can’t say the same for the others
Yes, he has plenty of company.
All of the top SEC quarterbacks in QBR during Week 1 played cupcakes. The bottom three played real opponents. Coincidence? I think not.
Even given that fact, Mertz’s QBR was heavily skewed by five sacks and an interception that resulted from his wide receiver failing to make a hot read.
I was an initial skeptic and I’ve been very pleased with his performance.
Sorry for the late response marine, but yesterday life intruded on my SDS posting.
Mertz will never be confused for Kyle Trask. That said, his numbers vs. Utah were much better than the QBR of 2.6 AR15 put up last year vs. UK and AR15 was playing in the Swamp and wasn’t running for his life on every pass play.
I’ll repeat this for emphasis, Mertz is NOT the Gators offense’s problem right now. This time last year, AR15 was!
I agree with Stl Gator again, this time re MERTZ: The kid is doing fine so far–NOT merely “a game mgr” as supposedly the most we could hope for. Illy “saw something there” was what the “backroom buzz” from summer camp was sharing, and so far that would be a still-hopeful assessment. MERTZ has NOT been at the heart if what problems we’ve faced so far–He might even potentially be at the heart of the SOLUTION. There are positive signs; but the sample is still too small. Like everything about this team, season, and above all the game ahead, LET’S SEE WHAT HAPPENS.
Against McNeese. Even Napier’s old school would destroy them. He sucked against Utah. Let’s see how he does against UT.
I loves to hate me some gators as much as the next dawg… but it’s unrealistic to “demand” that they beat the #11 team in the nation, when they’re not even earning a single vote in the rankings. Those 20 years of home wins vs TN have nothing to do with the coaches and players on the field Saturday.
A win would be huge for Florida, but I think if they show up, play competent football and lose, say 31-24, it’s a good day for them.
Pretty well written piece
We Tennessee fans know about streaks. We have been on the wrong side of them for the last decade and a half. While Florida is looking to end the “no wins against top 4 rivals” one the Vols ended not once but twice last year, while the Vols are still trying to get the Florida in Gainesville monkey off their backs. One of them will end on Saturday. No need to state which one Vol nation is hoping for…
Wish I could offer good luck to your Vols, but it’s the only game every year where I hope anvils fall from the sky and land on their heads. Looking for another nail biter, like UF and UT usually play.
These have always been typical rivalry games, often with wild endings. By all the signs and measurements,the Vols are ahead of us at least a season or two in the “RErise process”; We aren’t favored, even at home in the Swamp, nor SHOULD we be. But it sure would be SWEET–and BECAUSE of its history and nature, it isn’t impossible. In spite of ourselves, though filled with trepidation after Week One, by Week Three here we are acknowledged to all that tight foreboding in our guts: “CAN WE DO IT?” Yeah–We’re back to all THAT…
Let’s not get too far ahead of our skis. Remember that awful OL and WR performance two weeks ago in SLC. You can bet on the Vols crowding the box and bringing the heat the way Utah did.
The game is in the swamp and the Gators are better than Austin Peay. Gators win
Sunbelt Billy isn’t feeling any heat, matter of fact Sunbelt Billy is felling poetic
How do I love thee? Let me count the ways
O my luve’s like a red, red rose worth a $32,000,000.00 contract buyout
.
.
How about some more INFASTRUCTURE turds?
Emilio, there can be many Queens – but infantry is the Queen of Battle. Slang for an infantryman is “grunt”; grunts are characterized by perseverance under tough conditions. Patience and Perseverance are synonymous
To the everlasting glory of the infantry,
Shines the name, shines the name, Roger Young!
“Patience and Perseverance” are what this Gator team need to exercise over the next ten games Neal. This squad now has the talent to come together as a good team, but like an untested infantry in battle, they need lots of reps against live fire to get better at what they do.
Training and maintenance, out of all the balls a commander (coach) is juggling at any given moment, are the only two actually made of glass.
That’s a fundamental truth, but it remains that the proof of success is actual performance in actual combat (game day).
“ Florida is the SEC’s second-winningest program (Alabama) since the league fully integrated in 1972.”
That didn’t sound right, so I checked. Since 1972:
Florida: 427-197-7 (68.2%)
Georgia: 457-172-7 (72.4%)
Not a huge deal, but that’s the third somewhat glaring error I’ve seen this week from a feature SDS writer.
Just out of idle curiosity, are those overall records or conference records?
I have Florida at 252-122-2 since (and including) 1972. Georgia is 250-116-3.
Overall.
So, the difference in overall records means UGA ate a few more cupcakes over the years than UF did. Not surprising looking at this year’s out-of-conference schedules for UGA and UF.
“was (falsely) accused of being intimate with a shark…” Are we sure about the falsity ot that assertion?
It is false. The individual photographed with shark was a police officer from New York.
I’ll never be able to forgive OBL for rescheduling the 2001 UT game. Cost us an SEC title minimum and likely a BCS title.
It’s pointless to fire Billy this year. That’s how you end up with a Billy, a Dan, a Mac, etc. You keep Billy and his useless offense and (so far) decent recruiting until the next up-and-coming Johnny Hotcock emerges from the CFB coaching ranks. Or you do something daring like LSU/Kelly. The buyout would be less as well.
Billy is Zook to me.
The jury is still out with Kelly and LSU but go ahead with your premature conclusions if it makes you fell intelligent
“Billy is Zook to me.”
Even though those two personalities are diametrically opposite and they come at the HC job from opposite sides of the LOS, Napier’s early results in terms of recruiting success, offensive conservatism and lack of both player and coaching discipline look remarkably similar to those of us who suffered through the entire Zook “error.” Hopefully, Billy’s HC results begin to diverge from Zook’s as season #2 progresses.
More imaginative offense would be nice, but preferably I’d like to see OLs, DLs and WRs who hold still until the ball is snapped, DB’s who execute their coverage assignments based on pre-snap defensive calls and coaches who correctly manage the clock and don’t get caught with two players wearing the same jersey number on the same play. I’d also like to see the Gators beat all the teams they’re favored to beat, even if they end up losing all the games in which they’re picked to lose.
THAT would diverge the Napier era trajectory from the Zook/Muschamp “errors.”
Napier 2030! Gator Haters want Napier to stay at UF Forever!
Not a chance. Vols will win by at least 3 TDs
Another UGA troll heard from! Thanks for your tight margin of victory. Why not five TDs, or maybe seven instead?
Before you answer me, I’d like to remind you of the Vols’ last visit to the hostile home of another downtrodden SEC program. On that occasion, they still had Hooker pitching it and Hyatt catching it.
I’m not trolling. I wish the Gators were better. Our rivalry and the SEC is much better when the Gators don’t suck.
I’m just stating my opinion that the Gators don’t have the offensive firepower to stay with Tenn. Their good running game won’t be enough.
Nash – This is in response to your comment about TDOW’s self-awareness. You’ll have to figure out where that was in this string, just as I have to figure out where it went after I hit “Publish Comment”. (much more of this lunacy and I’m regrettably going to another site)
I think TDOW’s issue is that he IS aware of what he’s doing, although you are correct in observing that he appears to not recognize how it reflects on him personally. I’ll just say that ridiculing opponent teams time after time, subject immaterial, speaks to a serious deficit in mental agility and a pathological need for attention regardless of how often he is tuned out.