ESPN FPI: 3 toughest games remaining for Georgia
The Georgia Bulldogs are the No. 2 team in the country, but many people think the Dawgs are a bit more vulnerable this year than they were last year.
However, at 5-0 through five weeks and with a home game against Vanderbilt this weekend, they should enter the toughest stretch of their season 6-0.
As you can see below, the Bulldogs have a bye in Week 8, and ESPN’s FPI projects their three games with the lowest chance of victory to be condensed around that bye:
- Week 7 at LSU — 69.5%
- Week 9 vs. Florida (in Jacksonville) — 76.6%
- Week 10 at Kentucky — 81.1%
Interestingly, a Week 11 home game against Auburn is no longer one of the toughest games, per ESPN’s FPI. That game against Kentucky moved into the No. 3 spot.
Of course, they don’t play the games on paper (or in computers), so the Bulldogs will have to be ready to go for each of those tough SEC matchups.
Kentucky continuing to get respect. Let’s see how they do vs the Aggies this weekend. I personally think the 69.5% vs LSU is high but it sounds good!
Agreed. UK in College Station will decide the Pretender/Contender argument. LSU – hard to put a finger on this team. They’ve exceeded preseason expectations and won important road games… but don’t believe they can hold serve with UGA. Home field is only advantage. Dawgs way more talented
At what positions are the Dawgs way more talented?
For the guys that put points on the board, 1st teams not vastly different stats wise. At RB, Brousette/Holyfield not far off, although Holyfield avgs 7.1 YPC, while Brousette only 4.7. At WR, Jefferson+Anderson are on par with Ridley+Holloman. At QB, Fromm+Fields is a much better tandem than Burrow+Rosenburg. At PK, while Tracey is a perfect 100%, Blankenship is my first choice every day of the week.
Where the talent gap widens is at 2nd team. UGA has more “talented” depth at key offensive positions.
A lot of that tends to show in the late 3rd and 4th quarters, mainly on the LOS. Who’s O-line is more fresh? Who’s able to sub in more DEs to stop the time killing run plays?
That being said, LSU and Kentucky are playing with purpose and drive right now. Georgia isn’t even coming close.
Kirby, your boys haven’t played an opponent that challenged you. SCar was a pretender. We all want our teams to go 100% all of the time (aka discipline), but it sometimes takes a good punch in the mouth to wake a team up. I expect your boys will look very energized against LSU
We always lose a game we shouldn’t.
Except for last year ;)
This is Voltrain, a UT fan who makes fake UGA accounts to troll. Please ignore him.
Having an eight out of ten chance to beat Kentucky.
Apparently the author hasn’t read about our Heisman Trophy candidate, and our O’Brien Award listee for the best quarterback in college football.
Right?
Louisville fan saying “we”. Comical.
Terry Wilson has the 2nd lowest passer rating among SEC starting QBs, fewest yards, fewest TD passes, and 2nd most INTs.
His name and the O’Brien Award do not belong in the same zip code, much less conversation.
Paris10 is a UK hater so do not take his postings seriously. His posting are a disappointing attempt at humor. Go CATS!!!
They’re kind of funny, though.
How on God’s green earth is Florida projected to be harder than on the road at Kentucky?
The name Kentucky comes with a 20 point decrease in FPI. That’s how we’re still 10 spots below Florida and MSU, and only two spots ahead of South Carolina.
I assume the basketball power index has the opposite calculation.
Ah, the perpetual logical anomaly that is the FPI rankings.
It doesn’t help that Kentucky hasn’t shown too much in the passing game. For FPI, I believe it takes in a whole lot of different statistical categories and then MATHS THE HELL out of them. If we start averaging 225+ yds/gm through the air with 2 TDs and .5 INTs, the calculations would be drastically different and probably get closer to a 60% chance.
Florida seems to be hitting their stride under Mullen and there is still a few weeks to go for them to continue buying into what he expects. Give him half a season to develop his players like he did at MSU and things can change dramatically. Also, UGA-UF always has had crazy upsets.
Probably because how low UK’s passing offense ranks. They haven’t really had to throw the ball yet so it’s still a mystery how good Terry Wilson can be
I guess you can say we now have a gauntlet with the order of LSU, FL, KY and then Auburn. Pre-season outlook was did not see it as that.