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College Football

ESPN’s FPI predicts outcome of Georgia’s remaining games

Andrew Olson

By Andrew Olson

Published:

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On a rough Saturday for much of the SEC East, Kirby Smart’s Georgia Bulldogs went into Nashville and took care of business, defeating Vanderbilt 30-6, to get off to a 1-0 start on the season (and in conference play).

Notre Dame’s trip to Sanford Stadium has long been circled on fans of both teams’ calendars, but it might not be much of a challenge for the Bulldogs. ESPN’s Football Power Index, a metric that “measures (a) team’s true strength on net points scale; expected point margin vs average opponent on a neutral field” indicates that UGA’s biggest challenges aren’t until November in two big rivalry showdowns. Still, unsurprisingly, the FPI has the Bulldogs in all 11 of their remaining regular-season games.

Here is the FPI’s projected win probability for those games:

  • Sept. 7 vs. Murray State: 99.8 percent
  • Spet. 14 vs. Arkansas State: 98.3 percent
  • Sept. 21 vs. Notre Dame: 73.9 percent
  • Oct. 5 at Tennessee: 85.1 percent
  • Oct. 12 vs. South Carolina: 86.8 percent
  • Oct. 19 vs. Kentucky: 90.2 percent
  • Nov. 2 vs. Florida: 69.4 percent
  • Nov. 9 vs. Missouri: 89.7 percent
  • Nov. 16 at Auburn: 56.2 percent
  • Nov. 23 vs. Texas A&M: 78.3 percent
  • Nov. 30 at Georgia Tech: 95.9 percent
Andrew Olson

Andrew writes about sports to fund his love of live music and collection of concert posters. He strongly endorses the Hall of Fame campaigns of Fred Taylor and Andruw Jones.

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