A .500 season? ESPN FPI predicts outcome of LSU's remaining games
After the game was moved from Baton Rouge to Columbia because of concerns over Hurricane Delta, the LSU Tigers dropped a shootout, 45-41, to the Missouri Tigers on October 10.
Now sitting at 1-2, the road ahead is tough for Ed Orgeron’s squad, as they face a ranked opponent in three of their next four games, beginning with a trip to Gainesville to battle the No. 10 Florida Gators (2-1) on Saturday.
ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) released their updated projections for the Tigers’ remaining slate, and the predicted final record is one fans likely would not have anticipated entering the season.
Before we dive in, here is a quick reminder of how FPI is calculated:
“The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance for the rest of the season.
“FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.”
- Oct. 17 at No. 10 Florida: 29.6 percent chance to win
- Oct. 24 vs. South Carolina: 68.3 percent
- Oct. 31 at No. 14 Auburn: 35.4 percent
- Nov. 14 vs. No. 2 Alabama: 17.6 percent
- Nov. 21 at Arkansas: 66.6 percent
- Nov. 28 at No. 11 Texas A&M: 51.7 percent
- Dec. 5 vs. Ole Miss: 77.1 percent
If these projections ring completely true, LSU would finish the abbreviated 2020 campaign at 5-5. The last time the Tigers lost that many games was 2014, when the team, then-coached by Les Miles, went 8-5.
Saturday’s clash with the Gators will kick at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.