LSU is just a couple of weeks away from kicking off the 2024 season.
ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) has updated its projections for every game on LSU’s schedule in 2024. The Tigers play an 8-game SEC schedule as well as a nonconference slate that includes west coast powers USC and UCLA.
Here’s a look at FPI’s win probabilities for LSU in each of its 12 regular-season games:
- Sept. 1: vs. USC (Las Vegas) — 54.6%
- Sept. 7: vs. Nicholls — 98.2%
- Sept. 14: at South Carolina — 63.%
- Sept. 21: vs. UCLA — 79.8%
- Sept. 28: vs. South Alabama — 90.4%
- Oct. 12: vs. Ole Miss — 62.1%
- Oct. 19: at Arkansas — 65%
- Oct. 26: at Texas A&M — 47.1%
- Nov. 9: vs. Alabama — 36.7%
- Nov. 16: at Florida — 53.4%
- Nov. 23: vs. Vanderbilt — 86.2%
- Nov. 30: vs. Oklahoma — 47.6%
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LSU is expected to be favored in each of its first 7 games this season, according to FPI. That could allow the Tigers to get off to a fast start in Year 3 under head coach Brian Kelly. It should also be a relatively friendly slate for a LSU program that has a revamped defensive coaching staff this fall, led by new defensive coordinator Blake Baker.
However, things do get tough for LSU down the stretch. The Tigers are considered underdogs per FPI in 3 of their final 5 games — and a Nov. 16 trip to Florida is a virtual toss-up at this stage. Per FPI, LSU is a home underdog twice in November: against Alabama and Oklahoma.
All of those projections equate to 7.84 projected wins for LSU this season, per FPI. Vegas doesn’t necessarily agree with this projection, however. DraftKings currently has LSU’s regular-season win total posted at 9.
SPORTSBOOK
LSU and USC will kick off the 2024 season on Sunday, Sept. 1 at 7:30 p.m. ET in Las Vegas.
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Spenser is a news editor for Saturday Down South and covers college football across all Saturday Football brands.
