LSU vs. Clemson: ESPN Football Power Index gives early prediction for national title
The LSU Tigers will face the Clemson Tigers in the College Football Playoff national title game on January 13.
LSU demolished Oklahoma 63-28 behind Joe Burrow’s epic eight-touchdown performance, while Clemson came from behind to beat Ohio State 29-23 with a gutsy second-half comeback. Expectation was met for the semifinal games, as most thought LSU would win going away while Clemson-Ohio State would be the much closer game.
So, what happens in the national championship game? LSU opened about a 3.5-point favorite against Clemson in Las Vegas, and the game is in New Orleans, which couldn’t paint a better home field advantage for LSU.
ESPN’s Football Power Index says something different though. The FPI is described as the following on the website:
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.
The FPI actually gives Clemson a 56 percent chance of beating LSU even with how spectacular the Bayou Bengals and Joe Burrow have been this season.
The national championship features strength versus strength. LSU’s prolific offense averaging 48.9 points per game against the nation’s top scoring defense of Clemson that is yielding just 10.6 points per game.
LSU and Clemson face off January 13 at 8:00 p.m. ET in the College Football Playoff final from New Orleans.