An updated look at each Elite 8 team’s odds to win the National Championship
Published:
There are just 7 games remaining in the NCAA Tournament. Over the next 10 days, we’ll crown our national champion. And in Kalshi’s eyes, it remains a three-horse race.
According to Kalshi, there’s a 73% chance this year’s NCAA Tournament winner will be a No. 1 seed. Arizona (25%), Michigan (25%) and Duke (23%) have been the favorites all season long, and remain as such with the Elite Eight on tap. The only other team with a greater than 10% chance of hoisting the trophy is Illinois (13%).
Each of those four squads are the respective favorite in their Elite Eight matchup. Of the remaining underdogs, UCONN (6%) and Purdue (6%) have the best odds of winning the championship. Both the Huskies (No. 4) and Boilermakers (No. 1) were top-five teams in the preseason AP poll. Their campaigns have been a bit up-and-down, but they both reside just 1 win away from the Final Four.
Unsurprisingly, the two lowest remaining seeds in the bracket have the smallest chances of becoming champions. Both No. 6 seed Tennessee and No. 9 seed Iowa have only 2% odds of being the last team standing. The Hawkeyes, under head coach Ben McCollum, don’t have to play a No. 1 seed to make the Final Four, but are easily the lowest-rated team in KenPom (22nd) left in the bracket. The Volunteers (No. 11 in KenPom) may have to defeat three No. 1 seeds to win the championship.
Here is the TV schedule for the Elite Eight:
- Iowa vs. Illinois: 6:09 p.m. E.T., TBS/TruTV
- Purdue vs. Arizona: 8:49 p.m. E.T., TBS/TruTV
- Tennessee vs. Michigan: 2:15 p.m. E.T., CBS
- UCONN vs. Duke: 5:05 p.m. E.T., CBS
