Last week’s midweek SEC slate was frontloaded, with 5 games on Tuesday and only 2 on Wednesday. This week, there are 4 games in the Wednesday slot and only 3 on Tuesday night. But, boy oh boy, those 3 could all be doozies.
Arkansas heads to Oklahoma to face a reeling Sooners team. Mizzou heads to Alabama looking to keep the momentum going after an overtime win at the buzzer the last time out. And then Kentucky faces Vanderbilt in a battle between 2 teams moving in opposite directions.
Let’s take a look at some DFS angles to attack from Tuesday night’s slate of games.
Tuesday, Jan. 27 SEC DFS predictions
Below are 3 DFS picks from the Tuesday night slate of games in the SEC. All of them can be found inside one of the best apps for daily fantasy sports on the market — Underdog. New users can hit the banner below each player pick and our SDS sign-up bonus will be applied to your account.
Oklahoma G Nijel Pack higher than 2.5 made 3s vs. Arkansas
Points are expected in this matchup between an unstoppable force and an easily movable object. Arkansas ranks sixth nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, per KenPom. The Razorbacks are top-20 in turnover rate and 3-point efficiency. Oklahoma’s defense, which is only average defending the 3-ball and bad at forcing turnovers, has allowed 83 points or more in each of its last 5 games. During that stretch, teams are averaging 87 a game while shooting 47% from the field and taking an average of 26.2 free throws per contest. Oklahoma fouls constantly. Arkansas should have no problems putting points on this group.
That means the Sooners will have to chase. And that probably means OU will once again hoist a ton of 3s. The Sooners get about 45% of their shot attempts and 35% of their points from 3. Nijel Pack is a volume shooter from distance. He has at least 7 attempts from deep in 4 of his last 5 and averages 3 made triples a game on the season. He’s a 44% shooter at home, too.
Pack has been a bit hot-and-cold lately. After knocking down 6 of 13 on Jan. 10, he hit just 3-of-19 over the next 3 games. Then he shot 8-for-13 from the field and 5-of-8 from deep in the overtime loss to Mizzou. Whether it’s a 4-for-7 effort or a 3-for-10 effort doesn’t matter; the opportunities should be there for this career 41% shooter.
Via Underdog
Alabama G Aden Holloway lower than 18.5 points + rebounds
Head coach Nate Oats said Monday that Aden Holloway would play against Mizzou “provided there’s setbacks.” He was not listed on the team’s initial availability report. Things seem to be pointing toward a return to the court for Alabama’s second-leading scorer. That’s a big boost for the Tide, who are spinning their wheels a bit of late, losing 3 of their last 5.
But Holloway also hasn’t played since Jan. 17. He only missed a game, but 10 days off is 10 days off and he will probably need to knock some rust off. Even before he left the lineup, Holloway was showing signs of slowing down. He scored 22 or more in 3 straight from Dec. 29 through Jan. 7. Over his next 3 games, he shot 4-for-11, then 4-for-8, then just 3-for-8 with 9 points.
Holloway has been dealing with a wrist issue all year. I wonder if he gets eased back into the fold. Alabama can run away from Mizzou without him at full-speed. This matchup features the No. 3 offense in the nation against the No. 91 defense. Mizzou gives up the 3-pointer at a 36.1% clip (287th) and lets teams shoot 45% of their shots from beyond the arc. Missouri’s 2-point defense is great, but that won’t mean anything against this Alabama attack. The Tide could win by 15 and keep Holloway on a pitch count.
Via Underdog
Kentucky G Otega Oweh higher than 19.5 points at Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is slumping while Kentucky is surging. The Commodores have lost 3 of 4 since opening the season 16-0. The Wildcats have won 5 straight since opening conference play 0-2. Otega Oweh has, of course, been a key part of the surge for the Cats.
The senior guard (16.1 ppg on the season) has averaged 19.2 points per game during the active winning streak. And he’s done so despite shooting 29% from 3. Oweh is putting his head down and getting to the rim more, drawing a higher rate of foul shots than his season average. He made 10 of 13 free throw attempts in the win over Ole Miss. He made 9 trips to the line in the win at Tennessee. He made 10 trips to the line in the win at LSU.
That’s a recipe for success against Vanderbilt, which gives up a quarter of its points at the free throw line this year, one of 15 the highest rates in the country. The Commodores have an elite 3-point defense, holding opponents to 29%. But they foul a ton — 19.5 times per game, which is tied for 315th nationally. Alabama took 38 free throws against the ‘Dores. Florida took 30. Oweh should have a mandate in this one to attack the heart of the defense and force the ‘Dores to make a decision, over and over and over again. Trends say they’ll foul, send him to the line, and Kentucky will put points on the board with the clock stopped. I like Oweh to have another solid scoring day.
Via Underdog
Derek Peterson does a bit of everything, not unlike Taysom Hill. He has covered Oklahoma, Nebraska, the Pac-12, and now delivers CFB-wide content.
