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Missouri faces Georgia.

SEC Basketball

Missouri vs. Georgia: Picks, predictions and best bet

Chris Wright

By Chris Wright

Published:


No. 21 Georgia travels to face unranked Missouri on Tuesday night. Tip-off is set for 9 pm, ET (SEC Network).

The Tigers opened as a 1.5-point home favorite, but the line has moved to 1.0 points.

Georgia knocked off Arkansas in its most recent game. Mizzou fell at LSU its last time out, but the Tigers are 11-0 at home. It’s worth noting, however, that the Tigers are 4-5 ATS as a home favorite. Georgia is 1-1 ATS as a road underdog.

We’ll preview the matchup and offer our best bet and prediction.

Mizzou vs Georgia Odds

Bet TypeGeorgiaMissouri
Spread+1.0 (-115)-1.0 (-105)
Moneyline-110-110
TotalOver 164.5 (-110)Under 164.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of Bet365 Sportsbook on January 20 and subject to change.

The betting market reflects the tight nature of this SEC battle. Both teams have the same moneyline (-110), which gives each an implied probability of 52.38% to win straight up,.

For casual bettors, a wager on Georgia’s moneyline (-110) would profit $9.09 on a $10 bet if the Bulldogs pull the upset. Backing Missouri (-110) would net the same profit. The total is set, reflecting Georgia’s high-scoring attack against Missouri’s more methodical approach.

Mizzou vs Georgia Statistical Breakdown

Who has the edge in tonight’s SEC showdown?

StatMizzouGeorgia
RPI8140
PPG81.296.0
Allowed72.276.2
Record vs RPI Top 502-22-2
Record ATS8-108-10

Mizzou vs Georgia Best Bet

Best Bet: Under 164.5 Points (-110) at Bet365

Because this game is a virtual pick-em, we’re staying away from the spread.

Mizzou’s defense is more stout than what the Arkansas has faced to date. The Tigers have held 4 of their 5 SEC opponents to under 80 points, and our analysis projects the Tigers to maintain that level against Georgia.

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Final Score Prediction: Missouri 79, Georgia 76

At -110 odds, you’re getting reasonable value on a team that has shown no weaknesses at home while facing a Georgia squad still learning to win consistently on the road in SEC play. The Tigers’ defensive efficiency should prove decisive in what projects as a lower-scoring affair than Georgia’s season average suggests.

Chris Wright
Chris Wright

Managing Editor

A 30-time APSE award-winning editor with previous stints at the Miami Herald, The Indianapolis Star and News & Observer, Executive Editor Chris Wright oversees editorial operations for Saturday Down South.

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