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Purdue vs. UConn: Sportsbooks share betting insights into national championship game

Andrew Olson

By Andrew Olson

Published:

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Purdue and UConn face off Monday night in the NCAA Tournament championship game for the national title.

Ahead of Monday’s big game, DraftKings Sportsbook shared betting insights with Saturday Down South. The point spread has notably widened as bettors back the Huskies to cover.

Saturday night, Purdue opened as a 6-point underdog to UConn, the defending national champion. On the opening line, 85% of bets for 91% of the handle (money bet) was on UConn to cover the 6-point spread.

The line did not take long to move to 6.5 points. The Huskies continued to get 73/27 splits of the bets and 85/15 of the handle laying 6.5 points.

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As of Sunday evening, the line is up to 7 points. Purdue +7 is priced at -115, meaning a $115 bet is needed to win $100. UConn -7 is priced at -105.

Even with the 7-point spread, bettors all over UConn.

  • Purdue +7 (-115 at DraftKings): 18% handle, 28% bets
  • UConn -7 (-105 at DraftKings): 82% handle, 72% bets

As an underdog, Purdue is getting some moneyline love. The Boilermakers have 61% of the moneyline bets for 62% of the handle.

Purdue is priced at +240 to win straight up, meaning a $100 bet on the Boilermakers could turn into a $340 payout. To take the Huskies without the points, a bettor needs to wager $298 to win $100.

  • Purdue to win (+240 at DraftKings): 62% handle, 61% bets
  • UConn to win (-298 at DraftKings): 38% handle, 39% bets

The over/under is currently set at 145.5 total points in the game. Both options are priced at -110. Bettors are expecting more points to be scored.

  • Over 145.5 total points (-110 at DraftKings): 53% handle, 62% bets
  • Under 145.5 total points (-110 at DraftKings): 47% handle, 38% bets
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Can Zach Edey lead Purdue to an upset victory?

If Purdue is going to keep UConn from going back-to-back, it’s likely going to start with a standout performance from Boilermaker big man Zach Edey.

BetMGM shared with SDS that the two most-bet player props for the game involve Edey’s point total and rebound total. Bettors are expecting a double-double of at least 24 points and 13 rebounds.

Most bet player props (tickets)

  1. Zach Edey over 23.5 points (-125 at BetMGM)
  2. Zach Edey over 12.5 rebounds (+110)
  3. Fletcher Loyer over 2.5 assists (+125)
  4. Stephon Castle over 2.5 assists (+125)
  5. Stephon Castle over 10.5 points (-140)

The game props, however, look a bit different. Like the spread betting we’ve seen elsewhere, bettors like UConn to outlast Purdue. The most bet game prop at BetMGM has the Huskies beating the Boilermakers by 6-10 points.

Most bet game props (tickets)

  1. UConn to win by 6-10 points (+320 at BetMGM)
  2. Purdue first to score 5 points (+105)
  3. Will the game go to overtime (Yes +1200)
  4. UConn first to score 15 points (-165)
  5. UConn first to score 30 points (-200)

We’ll see how it all plays out Monday night!

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Andrew Olson

Andrew writes about sports to fund his love of live music and collection of concert posters. He strongly endorses the Hall of Fame campaigns of Fred Taylor and Andruw Jones.

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