Betting Stuff: Best bets for Week 14 of the 2025 college football season
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Better late than never. Let’s try to start a run.
The best price at the time of publication is listed in parentheses, but shop around at any of your preferred sports betting apps.
Last week: 3-0
2025 season: 15-25-1
2024 season: 33-37
Week 14 schedule, odds
SDS is your one-stop shop this season, with live, up-to-date college football odds. You can find point spreads, game totals, and money line odds for every Week 14 game below.
Bet Iowa -6 at Nebraska (-110 via BetMGM)
Iowa has won 2 in a row in this series — both of them by a field goal — and all but 1 game since the end of the 2014 season. Only twice since 2014 have these 2 teams played a game that was not decided by a touchdown or less. Getting Iowa under 7 is key here.
The Huskers have alternated wins with losses since going on the road and knocking off Maryland, but I’m banking on Iowa bucking that trend. Nebraska survived UCLA in its first full game without Dylan Raiola, but the Huskers gave up 4.2 yards per carry on the ground. Then, NU went on the road to face Penn State and got the doors blown off. The Nittany Lions ran for 231 yards and 4 scores at nearly 6 a carry.
In Lincoln resides one of college football’s worst run defenses. The Huskers rank 115th nationally in yards per carry allowed (4.8). They rank 125th in rushing success rate allowed (45.9%), per Game on Paper. They give up explosive runs at a 16.2% rate. Even though Iowa is vertically challenged on offense, this could end up looking like last week’s game if Nebraska gets off to a slow start.
Iowa has gotten up for the big games this season, and there arguably isn’t a bigger game on the schedule for the Hawkeye fanbase. The hatred is real. After holding Indiana to 20 points, Oregon to 18, and USC to 26, I have a hard time seeing Nebraska, with a backup quarterback, scoring enough.
Bet LSU team total under 13.5 points at Oklahoma (-105 via DraftKings)
Only a quarter of all the possessions Oklahoma’s defense has faced this season have produced points. The Sooners allow just 1.22 points per drive to opposing offenses, per ESPN. They lead the nation in allowed success rate. Plus, lately, OU has been pairing an unyielding down-to-down front with a ball-hawking secondary. The Sooners had 4 total takeaways in their first 8 games of the season. They have 8 in their last 3.
LSU has been held under 13.5 points twice in its 3 games since firing Brian Kelly. The Tigers managed only 9 against Alabama and then put up a paltry 13 against Western Kentucky last weekend. Regardless of what happens at quarterback, I don’t have much confidence in this offense’s ability to suddenly open things up against the best defense they’ve seen all year.
Over the last 3 games, LSU has gained at least 20 yards on 10 of its 207 plays (4.8%). Five of those 10 plays came against an oft-abused Arkansas defense. You have to break off chunks at a time to even reach scoring position against these Sooners, and LSU hasn’t been able to do that with any degree of consistency.
Missouri -2.5 at Arkansas (-110 via bet365)
The Tigers have lost 3 of their last 4, setting up an outstanding opportunity for us to buy low. In the regular-season finale, Mizzou heads to Fayetteville to face an Arkansas team that has lost 9 straight and has repeatedly been bulldozed by opposing offenses. Texas put 52 on the Hogs. Mississippi State and Auburn both cracked 30. A&M put up 45. Arkansas stops nothing. No power conference team gives up points on a greater percentage of the drives they face than the Razorbacks.
After quarterback Beau Pribula knocked the rust off against Oklahoma, expect a smoother operation against an Arkansas unit that never wins on early downs. Arkansas ranks 106th in rushing success rate allowed, so a bounce-back performance from tailback Ahmad Hardy seems likely. If Mizzou can get the ground game humming again, Pribula will be able to pick his spots better.
And while Arkansas has been plenty explosive on offense this season, the Razorbacks are dealing with some quarterback uncertainty heading into their final game. Taylen Green is battling an injury, which led interim coach Bobby Petrino on Monday to leave the starter up in the air for the week ahead. Green is the more veteran player, but he has consistently cost Arkansas this season with mistakes and giveaways. Either way, Mizzou’s defense, among the best in the country, has the upper hand.
Mizzou has won 3 straight in the series. The last trip to Fayetteville featured a 34-point beatdown. That kind of margin seems a little too rich still with Pribula working back from his injury, but I think this line from Vegas is making too much of the Tigers’ recent run. Oklahoma and Texas A&M are vastly superior to this Arkansas squad.
Derek Peterson does a bit of everything, not unlike Taysom Hill. He has covered Oklahoma, Nebraska, the Pac-12, and now delivers CFB-wide content.
