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DFS Picks of the Week: Our top Underdog plays for college football and NFL, Nov. 18 and 19

Adam Spencer

By Adam Spencer

Published:


It’s sad to say, but the college football season is winding down. We only have 2 weeks left in the regular season and then its conference championship weekend.

The good news? The NFL is barely past the halfway point of its regular season. And on the college side, there’s still plenty of postseason action ahead of us.

That means there’s still time to win big on Underdog Fantasy! Our DFS experts Andrew Olson and Adam Spencer share their picks for college and NFL games every week. Check out who they like this weekend!

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Our Week 12 College Football Picks

Andrew Olson

Graham Mertz, Florida: Higher than 34.5 passing attempts

We’ve seen this movie before. Mizzou is going to have no trouble scoring against a Florida defense that seems to put on blindfolds and greasy gloves just before kickoff. The Gators will fall behind, and Mertz will be asked to throw early and often to try to keep up.

Xavier Restrepo, Miami: Higher than 46.5 receiving yards

Restrepo has cooled down significantly after a hot start, posting goose eggs in Miami’s loss to Florida State. No offense to Louisville, but the Cardinals aren’t the Seminoles. Restrepo has chemistry with Tyler Van Dyke, who is back at QB in Week 12. We’ve seen Restrepo log 96 yards or better 4 times this season, making 47 quite attractive.

Sam Hartman, Notre Dame: Higher than 253.5 passing yards

Hartman faces his former team, Wake Forest, in Week 12. The Demon Deacons come in allowing 225 passing yards per game, but there were 3 games in October of over 300 yards. Both sides are obviously familiar with each other, but I think the advantage goes to Hartman and his supporting cast with superior talent.

Adam Spencer

Brady Cook, Mizzou: Lower than 30.5 pass attempts

Cook hasn’t attempted 31 passes in a game since Oct. 7 against LSU. The Tigers will look to get ahead early against the Gators and then hand the game over to RB Cody Schrader. I like Andrew’s pick for Mertz, but don’t expect Cook to match his counterpart in pass attempts.

Joe Milton III, Tennessee: Higher than 206.5 passing yards

Milton is going to have to throw the ball if Tennessee is going to have any chance in this game. Milton has gone above this number significantly in each of his last 4 games. Even against Georgia’s elite defense, 207 yards through the air should be doable for the Vols’ QB.

Blake Corum, Michigan: Higher than 93.5 rushing yards

Corum was amazing last week against Penn State, rushing for 145 yards. Against a Maryland team that isn’t as good defensively as the Nittany Lions, Corum should go for more than 100 yards on the ground once again. The Wolverines are gearing up for a Playoff run by playing some physical football.

Our Week 11 NFL Picks

Andrew Olson

Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Cleveland Browns: Higher than 10.45 fantasy points

DTR’s debut earlier this season was one to forget. The Browns, though, are turning to him over last week’s backup with Deshaun Watson out. I’m going to trust the Browns here (famous last words…) that DTR has figured some things out for this go around. Considering his dual-threat capabilities, 10.5 fantasy points feels obtainable.

C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans: Higher than 267.5 passing yards

To quote Mugatu, that C.J. Stroud is so hot right now. Stroud will have a “fall to earth” game at some point, but I don’t see the Arizona Cardinals being the defense to slow him down. I’m riding with super Stroud in Week 11.

 Adam Spencer

Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins: Higher than 269.5 passing yards

The Dolphins star only threw for 193 yards his last time out against Kansas City. This week, I like him to go for 300+ again against a Raiders team that’s kind of a mess right now. Look for Tua to have a massive performance that restarts the MVP buzz around him.

Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers: Higher than 57.5 rushing yards

The Packers don’t do a good job of stopping the run this year. Ekeler is a dual-threat guy, but I expect him to have more success rushing than receiving this weekend. It will be relatively warm for Lambeau Field in late-November, but the Chargers are a warm-weather team, so it’ll still be cold for them. They’ll feed Ekeler early and often.

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Adam Spencer

Adam is a daily fantasy sports (DFS) and sports betting expert. A 2012 graduate of the University of Missouri, Adam now covers all 16 SEC football teams. He is the director of DFS, evergreen and newsletter content across all Saturday Football brands.

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