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ESPN FPI predicts outcome of every Rivalry Week Saturday game in the SEC

Dave Holcomb

By Dave Holcomb

Published:

Rivalry week continues on in Week 13 on Saturday.

ESPN’s Football Power Index has predicted all of the Week 13 matchups. Every SEC team is favored to win except three, who are playing other SEC clubs this week.

As expected, Alabama and Georgia possess the highest win probabilities in the SEC this Saturday. Despite facing rival Auburn, the Crimson Tide still has above a 90 percent chance to win according to ESPN’s FPI. Georgia’s win probability is also above 90 percent, as the Bulldogs take on Georgia Tech.

South Carolina, who is on the road against Clemson, received the lowest probability to win.

FPI is defined by ESPN as “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season.”

Here is the percent chance that ESPN’s FPI gives each SEC team to win this Saturday (ranked highest to lowest):

Alabama (vs. Auburn) – 91.2 percent
Georgia (vs. Georgia Tech) – 90.7 percent
Kentucky (at Louisville) – 89.0 percent
Florida (at Florida State) – 76.8 percent
Vanderbilt (vs. Tennessee) – 61.0 percent
Texas A&M (vs. LSU) – 59.9 percent
LSU (at Texas A&M) – 40.1 percent
Tennessee (at Vanderbilt) – 39.0 percent
Auburn (at Alabama) – 8.8 percent
South Carolina (at Clemson) – 5.6 percent

Dave Holcomb

Dave covers SEC football for Saturday Down South.

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