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The 2018 season rolls on Saturday with a full slate of SEC games. All 14 SEC teams will face each other in Week 11.
ESPN’s Football Power Index has predicted all of the Week 11 matchups. Interestingly, the ESPN formula favors every single home team but one in the SEC on Saturday.
Not surprisingly, Alabama possesses the highest probability to win at home against Mississippi State. Georgia is second even as they welcome No. 24 Auburn to Sanford Stadium.
The only home team not favored to win according to the ESPN FPI is Tennessee, who will face No. 11 Kentucky.
FPI is defined by ESPN as “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season.”
Here is the percent chance that ESPN’s FPI gives each SEC team to win this Saturday (ranked highest to lowest):
Alabama (vs. Mississippi State) – 89.7 percent
Georgia (vs. Auburn) – 86.3 percent
LSU (vs. Arkansas) – 85.1 percent
Missouri (vs. Vanderbilt) – 84.2 percent
Texas A&M (vs. Ole Miss) – 80.8 percent
Florida (vs. South Carolina) – 67.6 percent
Kentucky (at Tennessee) – 66.5 percent
Tennessee (vs. Kentucky) – 33.5 percent
South Carolina (at Florida) – 33.4 percent
Ole Miss (at Texas A&M) – 19.2 percent
Vanderbilt (at Missouri) – 15.8 percent
Arkansas (at LSU) – 14.9 percent
Auburn (at Georgia) – 13.7 percent
Mississippi State (at Alabama) – 10.3 percent
Dave covers SEC football for Saturday Down South.
