Skip to content

Ad Disclosure

College Football

ESPN FPI predicts outcome of every SEC Week 12 game

Dave Holcomb

By Dave Holcomb

Published:

The 2018 season rolls on Saturday with a mundane Week 12 before the season recaps with rivalry week next Saturday.

ESPN’s Football Power Index has predicted all of the Week 12 matchups. Every SEC team is favored to win except three, who are playing other SEC clubs this week.

Not surprisingly, Alabama possesses the highest probability to win at home against The Citadel. Amazingly, ESPN’s FPI only gives The Citadel 0.01 percent chance of winning.

Georgia, LSU, Florida, South Carolina and Auburn all have very high win probabilities as well. Each of those six teams have a win probability over 95.0 percent.

FPI is defined by ESPN as “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season.”

Here is the percent chance that ESPN’s FPI gives each SEC team to win this Saturday (ranked highest to lowest):

Alabama (vs. The Citadel) – 99.9 percent
Georgia (vs. UMass) – 99.4 percent
LSU (vs. Rice) – 99.4 percent
Florida (vs. Idaho) – 98.8 percent
South Carolina (vs. Chattanooga) – 98.5 percent
Auburn (vs. Liberty) – 97.5 percent
Mississippi State (vs. Arkansas) – 93.0 percent
Texas A&M (vs. UAB) – 89.2 percent
Kentucky (vs. Middle Tennessee) – 86.8 percent
Missouri (at Tennessee) – 68.3 percent
Vanderbilt (vs. Ole Miss) – 51.3 percent
Ole Miss (at Vanderbilt) – 48.7 percent
Tennessee (vs. Missouri) – 31.7 percent
Arkansas (at Mississippi State) – 7.0 percent

Dave Holcomb

Dave covers SEC football for Saturday Down South.

You might also like...

2025 RANKINGS

presented by rankings

RAPID REACTION

presented by rankings