ESPN’s FPI predicts outcome for every remaining game on Alabama’s 2025 schedule
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Compared to what it was 24 hours ago, the outlook for Alabama‘s 2025 season is far different.
Following a more-than-disappointing 31-17 loss to Florida State on Saturday, Kalen DeBoer and the Crimson Tide are scrambling for answers as they attempt to turn this ‘revenge tour’ around.
As they do that, ESPN’s Football Power Index had adjusted its predictions for the remainder of Alabama’s season, and fans in Tuscaloosa may want to shield their eyes from how some of these numbers have shifted:
- Sept. 6: vs. Louisiana-Monroe: 96.3% (Previously: 98.3%%)
- Sept. 13: vs. Wisconsin: 77.7% (Previously: 88.7%)
- Sept. 27: at Georgia: 22.0% (Previously 41.2%)
- Oct. 4: vs. Vanderbilt: 81.4% (Previously: 90.6%)
- Oct. 11: at Missouri: 45.9% (Previously: 69.9%)
- Oct. 18: vs. Tennessee: 47.3% (Previously: 68.4%)
- Oct. 25: at South Carolina: 41.9% (Previously: 60.2%)
- Nov. 8: vs. LSU: 53.2% (Previously: 72.8%)
- Nov. 15: vs. Oklahoma: 66.5% (Previously 79.9%)
- Nov. 22: vs. Eastern Illinois: 99.0% (Previously 99.0%)
- Nov. 29: at Auburn: 47.5% (Previously 73.0%)
The most notable shifts came in the Tide’s biggest remaining games. According to the FPI, Alabama now has less than a 25% shot to beat Georgia in four weeks, and they are also now under 50% against Mizzou, Tennessee, South Carolina and Auburn.
Despite LSU’s win over Clemson on Saturday, the FPI does still give the Crimson Tide a 53.2% chance to beat the Bayou Bengals in Tuscaloosa on Nov. 8.
Current sports editor with the Enterprise-Journal in McComb, Mississippi. 2024 graduate from Mizzou and college athletics enthusiast.
