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ESPN’s FPI predicts outcome for every remaining game on Alabama’s schedule
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ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) has updated its projections for the rest of Alabama’s 2024 campaign.
Alabama is entering Week 5 with a perfect 3-0 record on the season. The Crimson Tide are coming off of an early-season bye week and already have secured wins over Western Kentucky, South Florida and Wisconsin to start the year.
Here’s a look at FPI’s game-by-game projections for the remainder of Alabama’s season:
- Sept. 28: vs Georgia: 66% (Previously: 40.9%)
- Oct. 5: at Vanderbilt: 91.6% (Previously: 89.8%)
- Oct. 12: vs. South Carolina: 91.8% (Previously 86.2%)
- Oct. 19: at Tennessee: 54.3% (Previously: 58%)
- Oct. 26: vs. Missouri: 84% (Previously: 70%)
- Nov. 9: at LSU: 83% (Previously: 63.3%)
- Nov. 16: vs. Mercer: 99% (Previously: 99%)
- Nov. 23: at Oklahoma: 78.9% (Previously: 51.2%)
- Nov. 30: vs. Auburn: 93% (Previously 80.1%)
Alabama’s odds to win have increased in each remaining game on its schedule, with the exception of the Tennessee contest. That likely has more to do with the Vols than it does with Alabama — Tennessee is off to a fast start in 2024 and has exceeded expectations so far.
FPI is now projecting Alabama to win 7.4 of the remaining 9 games on its schedule, which would put the Tide’s projected total at 10.4 for the year after including the 3 games they have already won. Alabama is favored in every game, per FPI. That includes this weekend’s game against Georgia in Tuscaloosa.
Fans can still wager on Alabama’s regular-season win total at some sportsbooks. At DraftKings, the over/under has been set at 10 (over -130, under +100).
Kalen DeBoer will be looking for his first signature win as Alabama’s head coach on Saturday night. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET.
Spenser is a news editor for Saturday Down South and covers college football across all Saturday Football brands.
