The Texas Longhorns are just under a week away from kicking off their 2024 season against the Colorado State Rams.
ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) has updated its projections for every game on the Longhorns’ schedule in 2024. The Longhorns have 8 SEC games in their inaugural season in the conference and also have notable non-conference games against the Michigan Wolverines and UTSA Roadrunners.
Here’s a look at FPI’s win probabilities for Texas in each of its 12 regular-season games:
- Aug. 31: vs Colorado State — 97.9%
- Sept. 7: at Michigan — 65.1%
- Sept. 14: vs. UTSA — 92.9%
- Sept. 21: vs. UL Monroe — 98.8%
- Sept. 28: vs. Mississippi State — 92.2%
- Oct. 12: vs. Oklahoma (neutral-site) — 65.1%
- Oct. 19: vs. Georgia — 47.5%
- Oct. 26: at Vanderbilt — 92.3%
- Nov. 9: vs. Florida — 86.1%
- Nov. 16: at Arkansas — 83.7%
- Nov. 23: vs. Kentucky — 89.4%
- Nov. 30: at Texas A&M — 70.6%
According to FPI, the Longhorns should be favored in 11 of their 12 regular season games. The lone game in which the Longhorns do not have at least a 50% chance of winning is a home game against the Georgia Bulldogs. Interestingly, the Longhorns should be a decent favorite over the defending champion Michigan Wolverines in Week 2, even with the game taking place at the Big House.
Other than the Georgia matchup. FPI predicts the game at Michigan and the Red River Rivalry game to be the Longhorns’ toughest tests. The Longhorns are projected to win 9.8 games based on those percentages. Oddsmakers in Vegas are even more bullish on the Longhorns, however, as DraftKings currently has the Texas win total at 10.5
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The Longhorns kick off the 2024 season against the Colorado State Rams on Saturday, August 31.
Bryce Lazenby covers college football for Saturday Down South. A Nashville native, his previous stops include FanSided, Dimers, and The Leaf-Chronicle.
