ESPN’s FPI updates projections for every remaining game on Alabama’s schedule
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Every college football season, there’s a game or 2 that we look back on and wonder, “how did that happen?” Right now, there’s a good chance that we’re asking that question when we remember Florida State beat Alabama 31-17 to open the year.
By no means is Florida State a bad team (at this moment, anyway). But Alabama looks like everything we expected and more following back-to-back double-digit victories over Georgia and Vanderbilt. And Kalen DeBoer‘s seat is no longer roasting on an open flame because of it.
Just like it did last week, ESPN’s Football Power Index believes Alabama is the No. 3 team in the country. It also gives the Crimson Tide the third-best odds of reaching the College Football Playoff (78.2%), appearing in the National Championship game (23.9%) and winning the whole thing (13.5%). All the goodwill DeBoer has earned back could be lost quickly, though, with 4 matchups against top 14 teams remaining this regular season.
Here are Alabama’s current win probabilities, per ESPN’s FPI:
- Oct. 11 at No. 14 Missouri – 63.4% (+1.6% from Week 6)
- Oct. 18 vs. No. 12 Tennessee – 72.5% (+1.9%)
- Oct. 25 at South Carolina – 79.6% (+1.3%)
- Nov. 8 vs. No. 11 LSU – 77.1% (-0.9%)
- Nov. 15 vs. No. 6 Oklahoma – 74.6% (+1.3%)
- Nov. 22 vs. Eastern Illinois – 99.0% (No Change)
- Nov. 29 at Auburn – 74.2% (+0.3%)
DeBoer, Ty Simpson and Co. battle to Columbia for a matchup with Eli Drinkwitz, Beau Pribula and the Missouri Tigers this weekend. Kickoff for their game is set for 12:00 p.m. E.T. on ABC.
