ESPN’s FPI updates projections for every remaining game on Texas A&M’s schedule
Published:
We’re heading to the second weekend of October, and the Texas A&M Aggies are undefeated. Head coach Mike Elko’s bunch is 1 of just 15 FBS teams — and 1 of 4 SEC teams — without a loss on its ledger thus far.
Have Texas A&M’s last 2 wins been pretty? Not necessarily. Were they important? Definitely, and not only because winning means you didn’t lose. The last 2 Saturdays, the Aggies proved they can win on the strength of their defense. The first 3 weeks of the season, they showed their offense can light up the scoreboard. If you want to make noise in the College Football Playoff — something ESPN’s Football Power Index gives Texas A&M a 66.5% chance of reaching — you’re going to need multiple paths to victory. The Aggies have them.
When we scanned the FPI following Texas A&M’s win against Notre Dame, it projected the Aggies would lose 3 times this season. That remains the case today. Two of those “losses,” though, are essentially a coin flip in FPI’s estimation. And the other is one the fanbase surely feels good about right now, even if the analytics say it’s their most difficult remaining contest.
Here are the FPI projections for the Aggies (percentage in parenthesis indicates change from FPI check on Sept. 16).
- Oct. 11 vs. Florida – 73.9% (+0.0%)
- Oct. 18 at Arkansas – 70.5% (+18.7%)
- Oct. 25 at No. 11 LSU – 46.8% (-1.6%)
- Nov. 8 at No. 14 Missouri – 46.4% (+5.9%)
- Nov. 15 vs. South Carolina – 73.6% (-3.4%)
- Nov. 22 vs. Samford – 99.0% (+0.0%)
- Nov. 29 at Texas – 36.0% (+3.2%)
The Aggies and Gators will kick off at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN) in Week 7.
